Javokhir Sindarov's scorching form, with 8/10 points atop the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open standings after defeating R Praggnanandhaa in Round 10's sole decisive result, fuels his 19.5% implied win probability against Fabiano Caruana in Round 11, especially after upsetting the higher-rated American in their Round 4 encounter. Caruana, at 5/10 and trailing by three points with four rounds left, holds a 25.5% edge via superior Elo rating, deeper opening preparation, and classical chess experience, though his Round 10 draw versus Wei Yi underscores steady but unflashy play. Traders price Draw at 57.5%, reflecting consensus on elite grandmaster prep likely yielding equality in this high-stakes rematch post-rest day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIf Fabiano Caruana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 9, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Fabiano Caruana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 9, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Javokhir Sindarov's scorching form, with 8/10 points atop the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open standings after defeating R Praggnanandhaa in Round 10's sole decisive result, fuels his 19.5% implied win probability against Fabiano Caruana in Round 11, especially after upsetting the higher-rated American in their Round 4 encounter. Caruana, at 5/10 and trailing by three points with four rounds left, holds a 25.5% edge via superior Elo rating, deeper opening preparation, and classical chess experience, though his Round 10 draw versus Wei Yi underscores steady but unflashy play. Traders price Draw at 57.5%, reflecting consensus on elite grandmaster prep likely yielding equality in this high-stakes rematch post-rest day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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