Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86.5% implied probability for Anthropic releasing Claude 4.7—likely Opus 4.7—on or before April 16, fueled by The Information's April 14 report signaling a launch "as soon as this week," alongside a full Claude Code desktop app redesign enabling side-by-side sessions and voice commands, which historically precedes major model drops. Codebase leaks from late March confirmed Opus 4.7 strings and a 1M-token context window for the related Mythos tier, boosting expectations of superior reasoning and SWE-Bench performance over Claude 4.6's 53.4% score. April 17 at 7.4% reflects minor delay risk amid Anthropic's accelerated cycles, though ASL-3 safety reviews could introduce slippage; resolution hinges on today's potential rollout.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoClaude 4.7 solto em...?
Claude 4.7 solto em...?
Em ou antes de 16 de abril 87%
17 de abril 7.6%
18 de abril 1.9%
20 de abril 1.7%
$61,257 Vol.
$61,257 Vol.
Em ou antes de 16 de abril
87%
17 de abril
8%
18 de abril
2%
19 de abril
1%
20 de abril
2%
21 de abril
2%
22 de abril
1%
23 de abril
<1%
24 de abril
1%
25 de abril
<1%
26 de abril
1%
27 de abril
<1%
28 de abril
<1%
29 de abril
1%
30 de abril
<1%
Não lançado até 30 de abril
1%
Em ou antes de 16 de abril 87%
17 de abril 7.6%
18 de abril 1.9%
20 de abril 1.7%
$61,257 Vol.
$61,257 Vol.
Em ou antes de 16 de abril
87%
17 de abril
8%
18 de abril
2%
19 de abril
1%
20 de abril
2%
21 de abril
2%
22 de abril
1%
23 de abril
<1%
24 de abril
1%
25 de abril
<1%
26 de abril
1%
27 de abril
<1%
28 de abril
<1%
29 de abril
1%
30 de abril
<1%
Não lançado até 30 de abril
1%
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86.5% implied probability for Anthropic releasing Claude 4.7—likely Opus 4.7—on or before April 16, fueled by The Information's April 14 report signaling a launch "as soon as this week," alongside a full Claude Code desktop app redesign enabling side-by-side sessions and voice commands, which historically precedes major model drops. Codebase leaks from late March confirmed Opus 4.7 strings and a 1M-token context window for the related Mythos tier, boosting expectations of superior reasoning and SWE-Bench performance over Claude 4.6's 53.4% score. April 17 at 7.4% reflects minor delay risk amid Anthropic's accelerated cycles, though ASL-3 safety reviews could introduce slippage; resolution hinges on today's potential rollout.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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