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This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Spirit Academy and Inner Circle in the European Pro League Group B, initially scheduled for April 7 at 8:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Spirit Academy" if Spirit Academy win the match against Inner Circle.

This market will resolve to "Inner Circle" if Inner Circle win the match against Spirit Academy.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. 

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Inner Circle enters this European Pro League Season 36 Group B BO3 atop the standings at 3-0 with a dominant 6-1 map score, fresh off 2-1 and 2-0 wins over Rune Eaters and MODUS, fueling trader consensus on their momentum in round-robin play. Spirit Academy languishes in fourth at 1-3 (2-6 maps), reeling from 0-2 losses to Rune Eaters and MODUS after an opening 2-0 upset over ALIS VENTORUS, highlighting draft struggles and poor execution on patch 7.41a. Head-to-head favors Inner Circle (3-2 series wins, 7-3 maps), though Spirit Academy's academy roster could spark an upset via aggressive cores; top-two advance to double-elimination playoffs.

This market is about whether Game 1 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game-ending action (Ancient destruction or midgame forfeit) occurs during a daytime phase of the base in-game clock. This market will resolve to "No" if the game ends during a nighttime phase. Temporary nighttime effects caused by hero abilities (e.g., Night Stalker's Dark Ascension) do not affect resolution, only the base day/night cycle timer is considered.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Ends in Daytime

Match Winner

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Spirit Academy and Inner Circle in the European Pro League Group B, initially scheduled for April 7 at 8:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Spirit Academy" if Spirit Academy win Game 1 against Inner Circle.

This market will resolve to "Inner Circle" if Inner Circle win Game 1 against Spirit Academy.

If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 

If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Game 1 Winner

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Spirit Academy and Inner Circle in the European Pro League Group B, initially scheduled for April 7 at 8:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Spirit Academy" if Spirit Academy win Game 2 against Inner Circle.

This market will resolve to "Inner Circle" if Inner Circle win Game 2 against Spirit Academy.

If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 

If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Game 2 Winner

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Spirit Academy and Inner Circle in the European Pro League Group B, initially scheduled for April 7 at 8:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Over" if Spirit Academy and Inner Circle play 3 or more games in this series.

If fewer than 3 games are played, this market will resolve to "Under".

Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed.

If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. 

If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

O/U 2.5 Games

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Spirit Academy and Inner Circle in the European Pro League Group B, initially scheduled for April 7 at 8:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Inner Circle" if Inner Circle wins 2 or more games than Spirit Academy in this match.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spirit Academy". 

Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.

If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. 

If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Game Handicap: IC (-1.5) vs Spirit Academy (+1.5)

This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 1. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Spirit Academy and Inner Circle each kill Roshan at least once during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not kill Roshan during Game 1.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had killed Roshan prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Both Teams Beat Roshan

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy barracks during Game 1. In Dota 2, each team has six barracks (a melee and ranged barracks in each of the three lanes), located behind the Tier 3 towers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Spirit Academy and Inner Circle each destroy at least one enemy barracks (melee or ranged) during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) do not destroy any enemy barracks.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams destroyed at least one barracks prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Both Teams Destroy Barracks

This market is about whether any player achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 1. In Dota 2, an Ultra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves an Ultra Kill. A Rampage (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as an Ultra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether an Ultra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Ultra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Any Player Ultra Kill

This market is about whether any player achieves a Rampage during Game 1. In Dota 2, a Rampage occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Rampage during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Rampage.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether a Rampage occurred prior to stoppage. If no Rampage occurred, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Any Player Rampage

This market is about whether Game 2 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game-ending action (Ancient destruction or midgame forfeit) occurs during a daytime phase of the base in-game clock. This market will resolve to "No" if the game ends during a nighttime phase. Temporary nighttime effects caused by hero abilities (e.g., Night Stalker's Dark Ascension) do not affect resolution, only the base day/night cycle timer is considered.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 2. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Spirit Academy and Inner Circle each kill Roshan at least once during Game 2. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not kill Roshan during Game 2.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had killed Roshan prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy barracks during Game 2. In Dota 2, each team has six barracks (a melee and ranged barracks in each of the three lanes), located behind the Tier 3 towers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Spirit Academy and Inner Circle each destroy at least one enemy barracks (melee or ranged) during Game 2. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) do not destroy any enemy barracks.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams destroyed at least one barracks prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether any player achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 2. In Dota 2, an Ultra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 2. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves an Ultra Kill. A Rampage (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as an Ultra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether an Ultra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Ultra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether any player achieves a Rampage during Game 2. In Dota 2, a Rampage occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Rampage during Game 2. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Rampage.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether a Rampage occurred prior to stoppage. If no Rampage occurred, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether Game 3 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game-ending action (Ancient destruction or midgame forfeit) occurs during a daytime phase of the base in-game clock. This market will resolve to "No" if the game ends during a nighttime phase. Temporary nighttime effects caused by hero abilities (e.g., Night Stalker's Dark Ascension) do not affect resolution, only the base day/night cycle timer is considered.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 3. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Spirit Academy and Inner Circle each kill Roshan at least once during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not kill Roshan during Game 3.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had killed Roshan prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy barracks during Game 3. In Dota 2, each team has six barracks (a melee and ranged barracks in each of the three lanes), located behind the Tier 3 towers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Spirit Academy and Inner Circle each destroy at least one enemy barracks (melee or ranged) during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) do not destroy any enemy barracks.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams destroyed at least one barracks prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether any player achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 3. In Dota 2, an Ultra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves an Ultra Kill. A Rampage (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as an Ultra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether an Ultra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Ultra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether any player achieves a Rampage during Game 3. In Dota 2, a Rampage occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Rampage during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Rampage.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether a Rampage occurred prior to stoppage. If no Rampage occurred, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Dota 2

Spirit Academy

Inner Circle

Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Inner Circle (BO3) - European Pro League Grupo B

Menor é melhor. As pontuações de Brier mostram o quão precisas as previsões realmente são — não apenas se estavam corretas, mas o quão perto a previsão estava de estar certa.

Pontuação de Brier vs Volume

As previsões do Polymarket se alinham de perto com os resultados reais em todas as faixas de probabilidade.

Esperado vs Real

Perguntas frequentes

Todas as métricas são calculadas a partir de polímeros resolvidos, usando instantâneos de preços tirados 1 mês, 1 semana, 1 dia, 12 horas e 4 horas antes da resolução. A precisão reflete a frequência com que o resultado principal final correspondeu à realidade, e as pontuações de Brier medem o erro quadrático médio das previsões.

Métodos

Qual é a precisão do Polymarket?

Mostra como as probabilidades do Polymarket eram precisas em diferentes pontos antes de serem resolvidas.

Precisão antes da resolução

Mostra os percentuais de todos os polimercados que acabaram resolvendo para “Sim” ou “Não”.

Composição da Deliberação

Actividade

Aprovar gastos com tokens para negociação

Implante uma carteira de contrato inteligente para permitir a negociação

Assine uma mensagem para gerar as suas chaves de API

Ativar Negociação

Veja os polimercados que mais se movimentaram nas últimas 24 horas

Tente selecionar uma categoria diferente ou volte mais tarde

Enviaremos um e-mail todos os dias com as novidades do Polymarket

Receberá atualizações diárias sobre os maiores movimentos do mercado

Está na lista

Receba atualizações diárias

Últimas notícias

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Comentário denunciado

O que o Fed fará nas próximas reuniões?

Visão geral dos Grammy Awards, sua história e conexão com as previsões do Polymarket.

Sobre os Grammys

Álbum do Ano é a joia da coroa do Grammy, homenageando todo um corpo de trabalho em vez de apenas uma música. Apresentado desde 1959, vai para o artista, produtores, compositores, engenheiros e mixers que contribuíram significativamente. Não se trata de vendas ou gráficos; é pura excelência artística em todos os gêneros. Pense em "Midnights", de Taylor Swift, "The Miseducation of Lauryn Hill", de Lauryn Hill, ou nos clássicos de Stevie Wonder; os vencedores geralmente definem eras. Os álbuns precisam de pelo menos cinco faixas e 15 minutos, ou 30 minutos no total, para se qualificarem. É um prémio de esforço de equipa, que celebra a magia de um projeto coeso que impulsiona a música. No Polymarket, as probabilidades de Álbum do Ano flutuam à medida que aumenta o burburinho para indicações ao Grammy, como "Debí Tirar Más Fotos", de Bad Bunny, e "GNX", de Kendrick Lamar.

Álbum do Ano

Best New Artist brilha em estrelas em ascensão que se destacaram no ano de elegibilidade. Desde 1959, é para artistas que lançaram seu primeiro grande trabalho e tiveram um impacto cultural, não apenas um sucesso. Vencedores como Olivia Rodrigo, Chappell Roan ou Sam Smith muitas vezes lançam grandes carreiras. Elegibilidade: nomeações pela primeira vez apenas para esta categoria e um avanço que remodela a cena. Os grupos também se qualificam, como os Beatles fizeram uma vez. É sobre novos talentos agitando a música. As probabilidades do Polymarket para os indicados ao Grammy na categoria de Melhor Novo Artista refletem o hype e o ímpeto de vozes emergentes como Olivia Dean e Leon Thomas.

Melhor Novo Artista

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Previsões do Grammy Awards 2026

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Previsões e probabilidades do Grammy (2026) | Polymarket

Record of the Year destaca uma única faixa de destaque, recompensando o desempenho e a magia de produção por trás dela. Ao contrário do Álbum do Ano, esta é para apenas uma música, indo para o artista, produtores, engenheiros e mixers que acertaram a gravação. Ela existe desde o primeiro Grammy em 1959, com foco no brilhantismo técnico e na vibração geral, não apenas nas letras. Clássicos como Billie Eilish's "What Was I Made For?" "I Will Always Love You", de Whitney Houston, ou "Beat It", de Michael Jackson, venceram, misturando arte com magia de estúdio. Não são necessárias vendas, apenas excelência. Difere da Canção do Ano por homenagear o som completo, não apenas a composição. O Polymarket permite que você negocie com indicações ao Grammy e previsões para Gravação do Ano, como "DTMF", de Bad Bunny, "Luther", de Kendrick Lamar & SZA, e "Manchild", de Sabrina Carpenter. Um sucesso viral ou balada emocional superará a concorrência?

Gravação do Ano

A Música do Ano tem tudo a ver com o ofício de escrever: melodia, letra e aquele gancho que você não pode esquecer. Premiado desde 1959, vai direto para o (s) compositor(es), não para o intérprete ou produtores. É para uma única faixa que capta o espírito do ano, independentemente do gênero. Pense em "Hello" de Adele, "Single Ladies (Put a Ring on It)" de Beyoncé, "Royals" de Lorde ou "Thinking Out Loud" de Ed Sheeran. "Essas músicas muitas vezes se tornam hinos atemporais. As músicas devem ser novas ou recentemente proeminentes, com palavras e música. Destaca-se da Gravação do Ano, que celebra a própria gravação. No Polymarket, acompanhe as mudanças nas indicações ao Grammy para Canção do Ano, como" Golden "de Ejae & Mark Sonnenblick e os compositores Huntrix: Ejae, Audrey Nuna & Rei Ami e" Abracadabra "de Lady Gaga, Henry Walter e Andrew Watt. É um aceno para os heróis desconhecidos por trás dos golpes.

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A corrida de Melhor Ator de 2026 apresenta cinco performances que abrangem talentos geracionais e gêneros variados. Timothée Chalamet oferece uma volta fisicamente comprometida e totalmente habitada como um prodígio excêntrico de pingue-pongue em Marty Supreme, de Josh Safdie. Leonardo DiCaprio traz vulnerabilidade a um artista problemático em One Battle After Another, de Paul Thomas Anderson, enquanto Michael B. Jordan canaliza a fisicalidade e a coragem emocional em Sinners, de Ryan Coogler. Wagner Moura acrescenta tensão enrolada ao seu papel em O Agente Secreto, e Ethan Hawke traz intensidade silenciosa como músico em Blue Moon. É uma categoria em que a juventude e a experiência colidem, com cada candidato oferecendo uma visão distinta de como pode ser um desempenho de liderança transformador com a cerimônia de 15 de março amanhã.

Melhor Ator

A categoria de Melhor Atriz de 2026 destaca o alcance e o destemor emocional em cinco atuações marcantes. Jessie Buckley oferece um retrato visceralmente poderoso da dor materna em Hamnet, de Chloé Zhao, enquanto Rose Byrne traz um timing cômico afiado para o sombriamente engraçado If I Had Legs I 'd Kick You. Emma Stone oferece outra reviravolta excêntrica e magnética em Bugonia, de Yorgos Lanthimos, e Renate Reinsve explora a auto-reinvenção com sutileza em Sentimental Value, de Joachim Trier. Kate Hudson canaliza a paixão crua em Song Sung Blue. É uma programação que recompensa os artistas que desaparecem em seus papéis, com cada candidato trazendo uma abordagem distintamente pessoal para personagens complexos e em camadas com a cerimônia de 15 de março amanhã.

Melhor Atriz

O campo de Melhor Diretor no Oscar de 2026 apresenta uma lista diversificada de cineastas que trabalham em diferentes tons e tradições. Paul Thomas Anderson foi nomeado para One Battle After Another, trazendo o seu trabalho característico em camadas. Pecadores, de Ryan Coogler, funde o cinema de ação muscular com comentários sociais, enquanto Josh Safdie traz energia frenética para Marty Supreme, aproveitando o caos controlado que definiu a Uncut Gems. O Sentimental Value de Joachim Trier oferece uma narrativa introspectiva e distintamente nórdica. Chloé Zhao completa a categoria com Hamnet, acrescentando seu olhar naturalista e empático à programação. É uma categoria que recompensa a visão ousada — e cada candidato aqui traz uma voz cinematográfica distinta com a cerimônia de 15 de março amanhã.

Melhor realizador

A categoria de Melhor Roteiro Original no Oscar de 2026 recompensa roteiros que esculpem um novo território narrativo sem material de origem para se apoiar. Pecadores, de Ryan Coogler, tece temas de justiça e identidade em uma narrativa bem construída, enquanto Marty Supreme, de Ronald Bronstein e Josh Safdie, crepita com sagacidade inusitada e energia inquieta. O livro Sentimental Value, de Eskil Vogt e Joachim Trier, oferece uma exploração filosófica da intimidade, e It Was Just an Accident, de Jafar Panahi, investiga o destino e a política com precisão moral característica. Blue Moon, de Robert Kaplow, traz uma sensibilidade lírica ao seu retrato do mundo de um músico. É uma categoria que destaca as vozes mais inventivas do cinema — e o campo deste ano é especialmente forte com a cerimônia de 15 de março amanhã.

Melhor argumento original

A corrida de Melhor Filme no Oscar de 2026 apresenta uma lista de indicados que abrange todo o gênero. One Battle After Another, de Paul Thomas Anderson, e Sinners, de Ryan Coogler, estrelado por Michael B. Jordan, trazem visões distintas da narrativa baseada em personagens. Hamnet, de Chloé Zhao, com Steven Spielberg entre seus produtores, oferece uma meditação poética sobre tristeza e criatividade, enquanto Marty Supreme, de Josh Safdie, canaliza uma energia indie nítida através da interpretação de Timothée Chalamet de um prodígio excêntrico de pingue-pongue. O Valor Sentimental de Joachim Trier, Frankenstein de Guillermo del Toro e Bugonia de Yorgos Lanthimos — estrelado por Emma Stone — trazem ambição de nível de autor para a lousa, ao lado de Train Dreams. É um campo que equilibra espetáculo com substância, refletindo o apetite da Academia por filmes pessoais ousados e narrativas de alcance coletivo com a cerimônia de 15 de março amanhã.

Melhor Filme

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Previsões e probabilidades do Oscar (2026) | Polymarket

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