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Eurovisão 2026: Segunda Meia-Final

Market icon

Eurovisão 2026: Segunda Meia-Final

$232,836 Vol.

14 mai 2026
Polymarket

$232,836 Vol.

Polymarket
A Austrália vai avançar pela segunda semifinal da Eurovisão? icon

Austrália

$11,753 Vol.

96%

A Ucrânia vai avançar para a segunda semifinal da Eurovisão? icon

Ucrânia

$1,657 Vol.

95%

A Dinamarca vai avançar para a segunda semifinal da Eurovisão? icon

Dinamarca

$714 Vol.

93%

A Bulgária vai avançar para a segunda semifinal da Eurovisão? icon

Bulgária

$5,605 Vol.

84%

A Romênia vai avançar para a segunda semifinal do Eurovision? icon

Romênia

$6,864 Vol.

82%

O Chipre vai avançar para a segunda semifinal da Eurovisão? icon

Chipre

$17,121 Vol.

80%

Malta avançará para a segunda semifinal da Eurovisão? icon

Malta

$15,632 Vol.

77%

Será que a Chéquia vai avançar pela segunda semifinal do Eurovision? icon

Chéquia

$35,058 Vol.

72%

A Noruega vai avançar pela segunda Semi-Final da Eurovisão? icon

Noruega

$4,888 Vol.

70%

A Albânia vai passar para a segunda Semifinal do Eurovision? icon

Albânia

$18,451 Vol.

60%

A Letônia vai avançar para a segunda semifinal da Eurovisão? icon

Letônia

$1,213 Vol.

53%

A Suíça vai avançar pela segunda semifinal do Eurovision? icon

Suíça

$74,427 Vol.

45%

Luxemburgo avançará através da segunda semifinal do Eurovision? icon

Luxemburgo

$21,975 Vol.

37%

A Armênia avançará para a segunda semifinal do Eurovision? icon

Armênia

$11,881 Vol.

31%

O Azerbaijão avançará na segunda semifinal da Eurovisão? icon

Azerbaijão

$5,747 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final qualifiers in Vienna hinges on strong pre-rehearsal previews favoring entries like Australia's Delta Goodrem, Ukraine, and Denmark, buoyed by catchy hooks, diaspora voting blocs, and favorable jury appeal amid the May 14 showdown at Wiener Stadthalle. The April 2 running order reveal—opening with Bulgaria's DARA and Azerbaijan’s JIVA, featuring Big Five acts Austria, France, and UK—sparked minor shifts, with late positions boosting perceived televote edges for closers like Norway and Serbia. No major news in the past week, but first rehearsals kick off May 1, poised to reshape odds via staging reveals and artist buzz, as historical patterns show production elevating dark horses in competitive semis.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$232,836
Data de Término
14 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final qualifiers in Vienna hinges on strong pre-rehearsal previews favoring entries like Australia's Delta Goodrem, Ukraine, and Denmark, buoyed by catchy hooks, diaspora voting blocs, and favorable jury appeal amid the May 14 showdown at Wiener Stadthalle. The April 2 running order reveal—opening with Bulgaria's DARA and Azerbaijan’s JIVA, featuring Big Five acts Austria, France, and UK—sparked minor shifts, with late positions boosting perceived televote edges for closers like Norway and Serbia. No major news in the past week, but first rehearsals kick off May 1, poised to reshape odds via staging reveals and artist buzz, as historical patterns show production elevating dark horses in competitive semis.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$232,836
Data de Término
14 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovisão 2026: Segunda Meia-Final" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Austrália" at 96%, followed by "Ucrânia" at 95%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovisão 2026: Segunda Meia-Final" has generated $232.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovisão 2026: Segunda Meia-Final," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovisão 2026: Segunda Meia-Final" is "Austrália" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ucrânia" at 95%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovisão 2026: Segunda Meia-Final" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.