Trader consensus crowns Israel the televote frontrunner at 40% implied probability for Eurovision 2026, propelled by Noam Bettan's powerhouse ballad "Michelle"—unveiled in early March—and the country's unmatched diaspora voting machine, which secured televote crowns in recent editions amid geopolitical solidarity. Finland trails at 15.5% with Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen's explosive duet "Liekinheitin," fresh off a dominant UMK26 win and leading OGAE fan polls, while Greece's Akylas claims third at 14.5% via the infectious, viral hook of "Ferto," boosted by Romania's 12-point OGAE gift last week. First rehearsals this month spotlighted vocal prowess, but live execution and semi-final draws on May 12-14 in Vienna could spark shifts in public sentiment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEurovisão 2026: Vencedor do Televoto
Eurovisão 2026: Vencedor do Televoto
Israel 40%
Finlândia 16%
Grécia 15%
Romênia 5.9%
$5,611,775 Vol.
$5,611,775 Vol.

Israel
40%

Finlândia
16%

Grécia
15%

Romênia
6%

Ucrânia
5%

Moldávia
2%

França
2%

Itália
2%

Suécia
2%

Dinamarca
1%

Austrália
1%

Chipre
1%

Montenegro
1%

Suíça
1%

Polônia
1%

Bulgária
1%

Croácia
1%

Alemanha
1%

Malta
1%

Áustria
<1%

Bélgica
<1%

Estônia
<1%

Luxemburgo
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Reino Unido
<1%

Chéquia
<1%

Sérvia
<1%

Albânia
<1%

Letônia
<1%

Lituânia
<1%

Azerbaijão
<1%

Noruega
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armênia
<1%

Geórgia
<1%
Israel 40%
Finlândia 16%
Grécia 15%
Romênia 5.9%
$5,611,775 Vol.
$5,611,775 Vol.

Israel
40%

Finlândia
16%

Grécia
15%

Romênia
6%

Ucrânia
5%

Moldávia
2%

França
2%

Itália
2%

Suécia
2%

Dinamarca
1%

Austrália
1%

Chipre
1%

Montenegro
1%

Suíça
1%

Polônia
1%

Bulgária
1%

Croácia
1%

Alemanha
1%

Malta
1%

Áustria
<1%

Bélgica
<1%

Estônia
<1%

Luxemburgo
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Reino Unido
<1%

Chéquia
<1%

Sérvia
<1%

Albânia
<1%

Letônia
<1%

Lituânia
<1%

Azerbaijão
<1%

Noruega
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armênia
<1%

Geórgia
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus crowns Israel the televote frontrunner at 40% implied probability for Eurovision 2026, propelled by Noam Bettan's powerhouse ballad "Michelle"—unveiled in early March—and the country's unmatched diaspora voting machine, which secured televote crowns in recent editions amid geopolitical solidarity. Finland trails at 15.5% with Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen's explosive duet "Liekinheitin," fresh off a dominant UMK26 win and leading OGAE fan polls, while Greece's Akylas claims third at 14.5% via the infectious, viral hook of "Ferto," boosted by Romania's 12-point OGAE gift last week. First rehearsals this month spotlighted vocal prowess, but live execution and semi-final draws on May 12-14 in Vienna could spark shifts in public sentiment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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