Israel's Noam Bettan with the multilingual ballad "Michelle"—released March 5 after his HaKokhav HaBa victory—commands a 39.5% implied probability as the televote frontrunner, fueled by its emotional appeal, slick production previews, and Israel's track record of public vote surges despite jury divides. Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen follow at 15.5% with the upbeat "Liekinheitin," UMK 2026 winner from late February, buoyed by streaming buzz and OGAE poll strength, while Greece's Akylas and "Ferto"—crowned via Sing for Greece in mid-February—holds 13.5% on charismatic live performances gaining traction in recent data models. Trader consensus reflects early pre-party hype and social media momentum, though semi-final draws on May 12-14 could spark shifts amid volatile fan voting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEurovisão 2026: Vencedor do Televoto
Eurovisão 2026: Vencedor do Televoto
Israel 40%
Finlândia 15%
Grécia 15%
Romênia 5.9%
$5,611,616 Vol.
$5,611,616 Vol.

Israel
40%

Finlândia
15%

Grécia
15%

Romênia
6%

Ucrânia
5%

França
2%

Moldávia
2%

Itália
2%

Suécia
2%

Dinamarca
1%

Austrália
1%

Chipre
1%

Montenegro
1%

Suíça
1%

Polônia
1%

Bulgária
1%

Croácia
1%

Alemanha
1%

Malta
1%

Áustria
<1%

Bélgica
<1%

Estônia
<1%

Luxemburgo
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Reino Unido
<1%

Chéquia
<1%

Sérvia
<1%

Albânia
<1%

Letônia
<1%

Lituânia
<1%

Azerbaijão
<1%

Noruega
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armênia
<1%

Geórgia
<1%
Israel 40%
Finlândia 15%
Grécia 15%
Romênia 5.9%
$5,611,616 Vol.
$5,611,616 Vol.

Israel
40%

Finlândia
15%

Grécia
15%

Romênia
6%

Ucrânia
5%

França
2%

Moldávia
2%

Itália
2%

Suécia
2%

Dinamarca
1%

Austrália
1%

Chipre
1%

Montenegro
1%

Suíça
1%

Polônia
1%

Bulgária
1%

Croácia
1%

Alemanha
1%

Malta
1%

Áustria
<1%

Bélgica
<1%

Estônia
<1%

Luxemburgo
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Reino Unido
<1%

Chéquia
<1%

Sérvia
<1%

Albânia
<1%

Letônia
<1%

Lituânia
<1%

Azerbaijão
<1%

Noruega
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armênia
<1%

Geórgia
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel's Noam Bettan with the multilingual ballad "Michelle"—released March 5 after his HaKokhav HaBa victory—commands a 39.5% implied probability as the televote frontrunner, fueled by its emotional appeal, slick production previews, and Israel's track record of public vote surges despite jury divides. Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen follow at 15.5% with the upbeat "Liekinheitin," UMK 2026 winner from late February, buoyed by streaming buzz and OGAE poll strength, while Greece's Akylas and "Ferto"—crowned via Sing for Greece in mid-February—holds 13.5% on charismatic live performances gaining traction in recent data models. Trader consensus reflects early pre-party hype and social media momentum, though semi-final draws on May 12-14 could spark shifts amid volatile fan voting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions