France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability as Group I winner, driven by their top FIFA ranking, Kylian Mbappé's elite striker form (ELO-ranked #2 with 12 goals in last 10 internationals), William Saliba's defensive dominance (#3 central back), and depth from recent qualifiers, despite Hugo Ekitike's Achilles injury sidelining the Liverpool forward as of April 15. Norway's 23.5% trader consensus stems from Erling Haaland's world-leading scoring (ELO #1, 14 goals recently) and debut major tournament momentum under Ståle Solbakken, positioning them to challenge Senegal (FIFA 14th) and Iraq (57th). Clean injury reports across camps highlight stable preparations, with Deschamps targeting Senegal's physical counters ahead of the June 16 opener at MetLife Stadium.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFrança 71%
Noruega 24%
Senegal 6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR <1%
$108,026 Vol.
$108,026 Vol.
França
71%
Noruega
24%
Senegal
6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
<1%
França 71%
Noruega 24%
Senegal 6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR <1%
$108,026 Vol.
$108,026 Vol.
França
71%
Noruega
24%
Senegal
6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
<1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability as Group I winner, driven by their top FIFA ranking, Kylian Mbappé's elite striker form (ELO-ranked #2 with 12 goals in last 10 internationals), William Saliba's defensive dominance (#3 central back), and depth from recent qualifiers, despite Hugo Ekitike's Achilles injury sidelining the Liverpool forward as of April 15. Norway's 23.5% trader consensus stems from Erling Haaland's world-leading scoring (ELO #1, 14 goals recently) and debut major tournament momentum under Ståle Solbakken, positioning them to challenge Senegal (FIFA 14th) and Iraq (57th). Clean injury reports across camps highlight stable preparations, with Deschamps targeting Senegal's physical counters ahead of the June 16 opener at MetLife Stadium.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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