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Desporto·Futebol

Vencedor do Grupo I da Copa do Mundo da FIFA

Market icon
Desporto·Futebol

Vencedor do Grupo I da Copa do Mundo da FIFA

França 70%

Noruega 21%

Senegal 7%

BOL/IRQ/SUR <1%

Polymarket

$110,609 Vol.

França 70%

Noruega 21%

Senegal 7%

BOL/IRQ/SUR <1%

Polymarket

$110,609 Vol.

França

$43,012 Vol.

70%

Noruega

$11,758 Vol.

21%

Senegal

$14,022 Vol.

7%

BOL/IRQ/SUR

$41,817 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices France at 70% to top Group I, bolstered by Kylian Mbappé's clinical finishing in recent friendlies and training camps, alongside depth from Dembélé and Griezmann despite Hugo Ekitike's Achilles rupture sidelining him as of April 15. Norway sits at 21.5% on Erling Haaland's full-contact return to sessions after early-2026 form concerns, paired with Martin Ødegaard's playmaking and Ståle Solbakken's direct 4-3-3 suiting counter threats against France and Senegal. Senegal lags at 6.5% amid Aliou Cissé's set-piece focus and Sadio Mané's leadership post-qualifiers, while Iraq's April 1 playoff win over Bolivia yields negligible 0.3% as young debutants prioritize defensive organization. All squads report near-full fitness entering final prep.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$110,609
Data de Término
27 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices France at 70% to top Group I, bolstered by Kylian Mbappé's clinical finishing in recent friendlies and training camps, alongside depth from Dembélé and Griezmann despite Hugo Ekitike's Achilles rupture sidelining him as of April 15. Norway sits at 21.5% on Erling Haaland's full-contact return to sessions after early-2026 form concerns, paired with Martin Ødegaard's playmaking and Ståle Solbakken's direct 4-3-3 suiting counter threats against France and Senegal. Senegal lags at 6.5% amid Aliou Cissé's set-piece focus and Sadio Mané's leadership post-qualifiers, while Iraq's April 1 playoff win over Bolivia yields negligible 0.3% as young debutants prioritize defensive organization. All squads report near-full fitness entering final prep.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$110,609
Data de Término
27 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Grupo I da Copa do Mundo da FIFA" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "França" at 70%, followed by "Noruega" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Grupo I da Copa do Mundo da FIFA" has generated $110.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Grupo I da Copa do Mundo da FIFA," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Grupo I da Copa do Mundo da FIFA" is "França" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Noruega" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Grupo I da Copa do Mundo da FIFA" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.