Kansas Senate and Governor races remain tightly matched in trader pricing after the August 4 primaries established the general-election matchups. Republican incumbent Roger Marshall faces Democrat Adam Hamilton in the Senate contest, where recent polls show narrow margins of 1–4 points despite the state’s Republican lean. On the gubernatorial side, an open seat after term-limited Democrat Laura Kelly produced Republican nominee Ty Masterson, backed by former President Trump, against Democrat Cindy Holscher, now endorsed by Kelly. Kansas’s structural Republican advantages in registration and rural turnout support expectations of a GOP sweep, yet polling volatility in the Senate race and the open gubernatorial contest sustain uncertainty over whether both chambers align or split. Upcoming general-election polling and campaign spending patterns will likely determine whether probabilities separate before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRepublicanos dominam 50%
Reps vencem Gov, Dems vencem Senado 25%
Dems vencem Governador, Reps vencem Senado 24%
Vitória total dos democratas 16%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Republicanos dominam
50%
Reps vencem Gov, Dems vencem Senado
25%
Dems vencem Governador, Reps vencem Senado
45%
Vitória total dos democratas
21%
Republicanos dominam 50%
Reps vencem Gov, Dems vencem Senado 25%
Dems vencem Governador, Reps vencem Senado 24%
Vitória total dos democratas 16%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Republicanos dominam
$40 Vol.
50%
Reps vencem Gov, Dems vencem Senado
$1 Vol.
25%
Dems vencem Governador, Reps vencem Senado
$28 Vol.
45%
Vitória total dos democratas
$3 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Kansas Senate and Governor races remain tightly matched in trader pricing after the August 4 primaries established the general-election matchups. Republican incumbent Roger Marshall faces Democrat Adam Hamilton in the Senate contest, where recent polls show narrow margins of 1–4 points despite the state’s Republican lean. On the gubernatorial side, an open seat after term-limited Democrat Laura Kelly produced Republican nominee Ty Masterson, backed by former President Trump, against Democrat Cindy Holscher, now endorsed by Kelly. Kansas’s structural Republican advantages in registration and rural turnout support expectations of a GOP sweep, yet polling volatility in the Senate race and the open gubernatorial contest sustain uncertainty over whether both chambers align or split. Upcoming general-election polling and campaign spending patterns will likely determine whether probabilities separate before November.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
Volume
$72Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Kansas Senate and Governor races remain tightly matched in trader pricing after the August 4 primaries established the general-election matchups. Republican incumbent Roger Marshall faces Democrat Adam Hamilton in the Senate contest, where recent polls show narrow margins of 1–4 points despite the state’s Republican lean. On the gubernatorial side, an open seat after term-limited Democrat Laura Kelly produced Republican nominee Ty Masterson, backed by former President Trump, against Democrat Cindy Holscher, now endorsed by Kelly. Kansas’s structural Republican advantages in registration and rural turnout support expectations of a GOP sweep, yet polling volatility in the Senate race and the open gubernatorial contest sustain uncertainty over whether both chambers align or split. Upcoming general-election polling and campaign spending patterns will likely determine whether probabilities separate before November.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$72Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kansas Senate and Governor races remain tightly matched in trader pricing after the August 4 primaries established the general-election matchups. Republican incumbent Roger Marshall faces Democrat Adam Hamilton in the Senate contest, where recent polls show narrow margins of 1–4 points despite the state’s Republican lean. On the gubernatorial side, an open seat after term-limited Democrat Laura Kelly produced Republican nominee Ty Masterson, backed by former President Trump, against Democrat Cindy Holscher, now endorsed by Kelly. Kansas’s structural Republican advantages in registration and rural turnout support expectations of a GOP sweep, yet polling volatility in the Senate race and the open gubernatorial contest sustain uncertainty over whether both chambers align or split. Upcoming general-election polling and campaign spending patterns will likely determine whether probabilities separate before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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