Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous gaming marathon on September 1, requiring back-to-back completions of Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft Hardcore on a single stream without restarts. Trader consensus around 50-99 Warzone deaths reflects the duo’s limited recent Warzone form relative to Lacy’s established Fortnite competitive background, including an FNCS win, combined with the demands of high-stakes battle royale lobbies early in a prolonged endurance session. The 19% probability on fewer than 50 deaths and 20% on 100-149 account for variables such as duo chemistry, viewer-driven momentum, and potential fatigue or coordination issues drawn from their prior four-day Minecraft marathon and shorter Chained Together runs. As the stream remains active into September 2, market pricing continues to weigh these early-session factors against the inherent unpredictability of Warzone outcomes in a gauntlet format.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado50-99 62%
100-149 22%
<50 12%
150-199 8%
NOVO
$14,347 Vol.
NOVO
$14,347 Vol.
30 set 2026
<50
12%
50-99
62%
100-149
22%
150-199
8%
200-249
2%
250-299
1%
300-349
2%
350-399
2%
400-449
1%
450-499
1%
500+
1%
50-99 62%
100-149 22%
<50 12%
150-199 8%
NOVO
$14,347 Vol.
NOVO
$14,347 Vol.
30 set 2026
<50
$9,038 Vol.
12%
50-99
$2,178 Vol.
62%
100-149
$1,188 Vol.
22%
150-199
$440 Vol.
8%
200-249
$196 Vol.
2%
250-299
$228 Vol.
1%
300-349
$216 Vol.
2%
350-399
$216 Vol.
2%
400-449
$216 Vol.
1%
450-499
$216 Vol.
1%
500+
$216 Vol.
1%
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous gaming marathon on September 1, requiring back-to-back completions of Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft Hardcore on a single stream without restarts. Trader consensus around 50-99 Warzone deaths reflects the duo’s limited recent Warzone form relative to Lacy’s established Fortnite competitive background, including an FNCS win, combined with the demands of high-stakes battle royale lobbies early in a prolonged endurance session. The 19% probability on fewer than 50 deaths and 20% on 100-149 account for variables such as duo chemistry, viewer-driven momentum, and potential fatigue or coordination issues drawn from their prior four-day Minecraft marathon and shorter Chained Together runs. As the stream remains active into September 2, market pricing continues to weigh these early-session factors against the inherent unpredictability of Warzone outcomes in a gauntlet format.
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET
Volume
$14,347Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.twitch.tv/lacyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous gaming marathon on September 1, requiring back-to-back completions of Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft Hardcore on a single stream without restarts. Trader consensus around 50-99 Warzone deaths reflects the duo’s limited recent Warzone form relative to Lacy’s established Fortnite competitive background, including an FNCS win, combined with the demands of high-stakes battle royale lobbies early in a prolonged endurance session. The 19% probability on fewer than 50 deaths and 20% on 100-149 account for variables such as duo chemistry, viewer-driven momentum, and potential fatigue or coordination issues drawn from their prior four-day Minecraft marathon and shorter Chained Together runs. As the stream remains active into September 2, market pricing continues to weigh these early-session factors against the inherent unpredictability of Warzone outcomes in a gauntlet format.
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
Volume
$14,347Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.twitch.tv/lacyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous gaming marathon on September 1, requiring back-to-back completions of Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft Hardcore on a single stream without restarts. Trader consensus around 50-99 Warzone deaths reflects the duo’s limited recent Warzone form relative to Lacy’s established Fortnite competitive background, including an FNCS win, combined with the demands of high-stakes battle royale lobbies early in a prolonged endurance session. The 19% probability on fewer than 50 deaths and 20% on 100-149 account for variables such as duo chemistry, viewer-driven momentum, and potential fatigue or coordination issues drawn from their prior four-day Minecraft marathon and shorter Chained Together runs. As the stream remains active into September 2, market pricing continues to weigh these early-session factors against the inherent unpredictability of Warzone outcomes in a gauntlet format.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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