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Economia·Negócios

Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?

Market icon
Economia·Negócios

Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?

abr 30

jun 30

dez 31

abr 30

jun 30

dez 31

NVIDIA 71%

Alphabet 13%

Apple 12%

SpaceX 2.9%

Polymarket

$1,843,873 Vol.

NVIDIA 71%

Alphabet 13%

Apple 12%

SpaceX 2.9%

Polymarket

$1,843,873 Vol.

A NVIDIA será a maior empresa do mundo em valor de mercado em 31 de dezembro? icon

NVIDIA

$337,427 Vol.

71%

A Alphabet será a maior empresa do mundo em valor de mercado em 31 de dezembro? icon

Alphabet

$174,237 Vol.

13%

A Apple será a maior empresa do mundo em valor de mercado em 31 de dezembro? icon

Apple

$151,211 Vol.

12%

A SpaceX será a maior empresa do mundo em valor de mercado em 31 de dezembro? icon

SpaceX

$72,460 Vol.

3%

A Tesla será a maior empresa do mundo em valor de mercado em 31 de dezembro? icon

Tesla

$221,168 Vol.

1%

A Microsoft será a maior empresa do mundo em valor de mercado em 31 de dezembro? icon

Microsoft

$256,393 Vol.

1%

A Saudi Aramco será a maior empresa do mundo em valor de mercado em 31 de dezembro? icon

Saudi Aramco

$379,541 Vol.

1%

A Amazon será a maior empresa do mundo em valor de mercado em 31 de dezembro? icon

Amazon

$251,436 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA commands a dominant 71% implied probability on Polymarket as the largest company by market capitalization at end-December 2026, reflecting its current $4.6 trillion lead—fueled by explosive data center revenue projected at $216 billion for fiscal 2026, representing 90% of total sales amid hyperscalers' $635 billion AI infrastructure capex commitments this year. Trader consensus prices in NVIDIA's capture of 40-50% of that spend via Blackwell and Rubin chips, with CEO Jensen Huang recently doubling cumulative demand forecasts to $1 trillion through 2027 at GTC. Alphabet's 12.5% trails after surpassing Apple ($3.8 trillion) in January 2026 on cloud growth, while others lag due to slower AI exposure or private valuations like SpaceX. Q2 earnings and further capex guidance could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,843,873
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA commands a dominant 71% implied probability on Polymarket as the largest company by market capitalization at end-December 2026, reflecting its current $4.6 trillion lead—fueled by explosive data center revenue projected at $216 billion for fiscal 2026, representing 90% of total sales amid hyperscalers' $635 billion AI infrastructure capex commitments this year. Trader consensus prices in NVIDIA's capture of 40-50% of that spend via Blackwell and Rubin chips, with CEO Jensen Huang recently doubling cumulative demand forecasts to $1 trillion through 2027 at GTC. Alphabet's 12.5% trails after surpassing Apple ($3.8 trillion) in January 2026 on cloud growth, while others lag due to slower AI exposure or private valuations like SpaceX. Q2 earnings and further capex guidance could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,843,873
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "NVIDIA" at 71%, followed by "Alphabet" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?" has generated $1.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?" is "NVIDIA" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alphabet" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.