Traders assign a 92.5% implied probability that Les Wexner will not face criminal charges by June 30 because sustained federal scrutiny of his decades-old ties to Jeffrey Epstein has produced no indictments or active prosecution. Congressional deposition testimony released in February detailed Wexner’s account of being misled by Epstein, while 2019 FBI documents labeled him a potential secondary co-conspirator yet noted limited evidence of involvement. A civil lawsuit filed in April by alleged victims seeks damages over alleged funding of Epstein’s activities, but remains separate from any criminal proceeding. At age 88, Wexner has faced no new official actions or subpoenas in the intervening months that would signal an accelerated timeline toward charges.