The Tampa Bay Rays hold an 83-55 record and a 4.5-game lead in the AL East as of early September 2026, driving their 76.9% implied probability to win the division. Their strong recent form (7-3 in the last 10 games), solid home performance, and consistent pitching have positioned them ahead of the New York Yankees (79-60), whose superior run differential has not translated into enough wins to close the gap. The Boston Red Sox, Toronto Blue Jays, and Baltimore Orioles sit 8.5 or more games back with weaker overall records and recent results, limiting their realistic paths to the title in the remaining schedule. Trader consensus reflects the Rays' sustained edge in a late-season division race where small margins in wins and losses carry significant weight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTampa Bay Rays 76.4%
New York Yankees 14%
Boston Red Sox 1.1%
Toronto Blue Jays <1%
$258,053 Vol.
$258,053 Vol.
Tampa Bay Rays
76%
New York Yankees
14%
Boston Red Sox
1%
Toronto Blue Jays
1%
Baltimore Orioles
<1%
Tampa Bay Rays 76.4%
New York Yankees 14%
Boston Red Sox 1.1%
Toronto Blue Jays <1%
$258,053 Vol.
$258,053 Vol.
Tampa Bay Rays
76%
New York Yankees
14%
Boston Red Sox
1%
Toronto Blue Jays
1%
Baltimore Orioles
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 19, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Tampa Bay Rays hold an 83-55 record and a 4.5-game lead in the AL East as of early September 2026, driving their 76.9% implied probability to win the division. Their strong recent form (7-3 in the last 10 games), solid home performance, and consistent pitching have positioned them ahead of the New York Yankees (79-60), whose superior run differential has not translated into enough wins to close the gap. The Boston Red Sox, Toronto Blue Jays, and Baltimore Orioles sit 8.5 or more games back with weaker overall records and recent results, limiting their realistic paths to the title in the remaining schedule. Trader consensus reflects the Rays' sustained edge in a late-season division race where small margins in wins and losses carry significant weight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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