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Desporto·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

icon for MLB: Home Runs Leader
Desporto·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

Kyle Schwarber 51%

Yordan Alvarez 30.5%

Ben Rice 5.8%

Rafael Devers 4.8%

Polymarket

$30,620 Vol.

Kyle Schwarber 51%

Yordan Alvarez 30.5%

Ben Rice 5.8%

Rafael Devers 4.8%

Polymarket

$30,620 Vol.

Kyle Schwarber

$5,973 Vol.

51%

Yordan Alvarez

$3,205 Vol.

31%

Ben Rice

$796 Vol.

6%

Rafael Devers

$270 Vol.

5%

Matt Olson

$1,379 Vol.

4%

James Wood

$1,114 Vol.

3%

Munetaka Murakami

$7,361 Vol.

2%

Shea Langeliers

$958 Vol.

2%

Aaron Judge

$4,171 Vol.

1%

Junior Caminero

$743 Vol.

1%

Shohei Ohtani

$523 Vol.

1%

Juan Soto

$275 Vol.

1%

Elly De La Cruz

$525 Vol.

1%

Nick Kurtz

$285 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Lowe

$265 Vol.

<1%

Mike Trout

$259 Vol.

<1%

CJ Abrams

$288 Vol.

<1%

Cal Raleigh

$318 Vol.

<1%

Sal Stewart

$283 Vol.

<1%

Eugenio Suarez

$252 Vol.

<1%

Pete Alonso

$368 Vol.

<1%

Manny Machado

$287 Vol.

<1%

Jordan Walker

$239 Vol.

<1%

George Springer

$243 Vol.

<1%

Giancarlo Stanton

$239 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber holds the MLB home run lead with 23 through early June, outpacing the field after becoming the first player to reach 20 homers this season. His consistent power output for the Phillies, including long-distance blasts, underpins the 50.5% trader consensus. Yordan Alvarez sits second with 22 home runs and tops the league in OPS, fueling his 30.5% implied probability through elite contact and extra-base production for the Astros. Ben Rice, Rafael Devers, and Matt Olson trail with 17-18 homers each, while lower-priced names like James Wood and Aaron Judge remain on pace but face larger gaps in the current standings. Recent form and early-season volume position the top two as the primary contenders.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$30,620
Data de Término
28 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber holds the MLB home run lead with 23 through early June, outpacing the field after becoming the first player to reach 20 homers this season. His consistent power output for the Phillies, including long-distance blasts, underpins the 50.5% trader consensus. Yordan Alvarez sits second with 22 home runs and tops the league in OPS, fueling his 30.5% implied probability through elite contact and extra-base production for the Astros. Ben Rice, Rafael Devers, and Matt Olson trail with 17-18 homers each, while lower-priced names like James Wood and Aaron Judge remain on pace but face larger gaps in the current standings. Recent form and early-season volume position the top two as the primary contenders.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$30,620
Data de Término
28 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Home Runs Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 25 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kyle Schwarber" at 51%, followed by "Yordan Alvarez" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: Home Runs Leader" has generated $30.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: Home Runs Leader," browse the 25 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: Home Runs Leader" is "Kyle Schwarber" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Yordan Alvarez" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Home Runs Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.