Kyle Schwarber's league-leading total of 45 home runs through mid-September has driven trader consensus toward a 64% implied probability for the Phillies slugger, reflecting his consistent power output and multi-homer games this season. Pete Crow-Armstrong sits one behind at 44, while Yordan Alvarez, Junior Caminero, and Matt Olson trail further at 40 or 41, with the remaining field at 32 or fewer. Schwarber's recent form, including a 45th homer in late games, combined with his history of late-season surges, positions him ahead in a shortened schedule window. Other contenders face steeper gaps and variable playing time that limit realistic catch-up scenarios before the regular season concludes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoKyle Schwarber 65%
Junior Caminero 3.6%
Yordan Alvarez 1.5%
Matt Olson <1%
$3,189,238 Vol.
$3,189,238 Vol.
10 out 2026
Kyle Schwarber
65%
Junior Caminero
4%
Yordan Alvarez
1%
Matt Olson
1%
Ben Rice
1%
Munetaka Murakami
<1%
Brandon Lowe
<1%
Aaron Judge
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Nick Kurtz
<1%
Rafael Devers
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
James Wood
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Shea Langeliers
<1%
Kyle Schwarber 65%
Junior Caminero 3.6%
Yordan Alvarez 1.5%
Matt Olson <1%
$3,189,238 Vol.
$3,189,238 Vol.
10 out 2026
Kyle Schwarber
$45,622 Vol.
65%
Junior Caminero
$5,301 Vol.
4%
Yordan Alvarez
$15,000 Vol.
1%
Matt Olson
$5,408 Vol.
1%
Ben Rice
$3,492 Vol.
1%
Munetaka Murakami
$10,631 Vol.
<1%
Brandon Lowe
$471,178 Vol.
<1%
Aaron Judge
$4,680 Vol.
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
$2,985 Vol.
<1%
Cal Raleigh
$772 Vol.
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
$922 Vol.
<1%
Juan Soto
$649,418 Vol.
<1%
Pete Alonso
$476 Vol.
<1%
Nick Kurtz
$1,516 Vol.
<1%
Rafael Devers
$659 Vol.
<1%
George Springer
$535 Vol.
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
$664 Vol.
<1%
Mike Trout
$1,749,624 Vol.
<1%
Manny Machado
$547 Vol.
<1%
James Wood
$9,509 Vol.
<1%
Jordan Walker
$734 Vol.
<1%
Sal Stewart
$827 Vol.
<1%
CJ Abrams
$206,030 Vol.
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
$1,370 Vol.
<1%
Shea Langeliers
$1,341 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber's league-leading total of 45 home runs through mid-September has driven trader consensus toward a 64% implied probability for the Phillies slugger, reflecting his consistent power output and multi-homer games this season. Pete Crow-Armstrong sits one behind at 44, while Yordan Alvarez, Junior Caminero, and Matt Olson trail further at 40 or 41, with the remaining field at 32 or fewer. Schwarber's recent form, including a 45th homer in late games, combined with his history of late-season surges, positions him ahead in a shortened schedule window. Other contenders face steeper gaps and variable playing time that limit realistic catch-up scenarios before the regular season concludes.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Volume
$3,189,238Data de Término
28 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber's league-leading total of 45 home runs through mid-September has driven trader consensus toward a 64% implied probability for the Phillies slugger, reflecting his consistent power output and multi-homer games this season. Pete Crow-Armstrong sits one behind at 44, while Yordan Alvarez, Junior Caminero, and Matt Olson trail further at 40 or 41, with the remaining field at 32 or fewer. Schwarber's recent form, including a 45th homer in late games, combined with his history of late-season surges, positions him ahead in a shortened schedule window. Other contenders face steeper gaps and variable playing time that limit realistic catch-up scenarios before the regular season concludes.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,189,238Data de Término
28 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kyle Schwarber's league-leading total of 45 home runs through mid-September has driven trader consensus toward a 64% implied probability for the Phillies slugger, reflecting his consistent power output and multi-homer games this season. Pete Crow-Armstrong sits one behind at 44, while Yordan Alvarez, Junior Caminero, and Matt Olson trail further at 40 or 41, with the remaining field at 32 or fewer. Schwarber's recent form, including a 45th homer in late games, combined with his history of late-season surges, positions him ahead in a shortened schedule window. Other contenders face steeper gaps and variable playing time that limit realistic catch-up scenarios before the regular season concludes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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