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icon for Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas
Mundo·Eleições Francesas

Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas

icon for Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas
Mundo·Eleições Francesas

Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas

Marine Le Pen 34.4%

Édouard Philippe 28%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%

David Lisnard 8.0%

Polymarket

$133,042,185 Vol.

Marine Le Pen 34.4%

Édouard Philippe 28%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%

David Lisnard 8.0%

Polymarket

$133,042,185 Vol.

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$2,413,561 Vol.

34%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$1,594,737 Vol.

28%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$1,435,003 Vol.

12%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$2,126,725 Vol.

8%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$1,781,022 Vol.

4%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$2,268,801 Vol.

2%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$2,111,370 Vol.

2%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$2,250,789 Vol.

2%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$1,727,491 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$2,054,456 Vol.

1%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,873,433 Vol.

1%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$2,313,065 Vol.

1%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,675,216 Vol.

1%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$3,683,627 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$2,086,433 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$2,260,300 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$4,175,089 Vol.

<1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$5,943,542 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$3,652,047 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$4,154,158 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,691,032 Vol.

<1%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$863,669 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$4,244,282 Vol.

<1%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$5,722,928 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$5,981,578 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$5,755,672 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$4,990,060 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$4,731,111 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$5,253,704 Vol.

<1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$4,066,879 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$5,939,543 Vol.

<1%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$5,446,132 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$5,701,432 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$4,742,192 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$2,337,328 Vol.

<1%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$4,826,241 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$6,420,673 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucie Castets

Lucie Castets

$418,274 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yannick Jadot

Yannick Jadot

$750,449 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Baroin

François Baroin

$1,136,635 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marion Maréchal

Marion Maréchal

$441,509 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen leads trader pricing at 34% amid her consolidated support within the Rassemblement National and a July 2026 appeals ruling that reduced her ineligibility period, clearing her path to the April 2027 first round. Édouard Philippe trails at 27% as the strongest centrist alternative, benefiting from polling strength in head-to-head scenarios but constrained by vote fragmentation among multiple Macron-aligned and moderate-right contenders including Gabriel Attal and Bruno Retailleau. Jean-Luc Mélenchon holds third at 11.5% on the divided left, with recent surveys showing him competitive for a runoff berth in some configurations. The narrow gap between the top two reflects uncertainty over candidate consolidation, primary outcomes, and second-round transfers in a polarized field ahead of the April 18 first-round vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$133,042,185
Data de Término
30 abr 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen leads trader pricing at 34% amid her consolidated support within the Rassemblement National and a July 2026 appeals ruling that reduced her ineligibility period, clearing her path to the April 2027 first round. Édouard Philippe trails at 27% as the strongest centrist alternative, benefiting from polling strength in head-to-head scenarios but constrained by vote fragmentation among multiple Macron-aligned and moderate-right contenders including Gabriel Attal and Bruno Retailleau. Jean-Luc Mélenchon holds third at 11.5% on the divided left, with recent surveys showing him competitive for a runoff berth in some configurations. The narrow gap between the top two reflects uncertainty over candidate consolidation, primary outcomes, and second-round transfers in a polarized field ahead of the April 18 first-round vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$133,042,185
Data de Término
30 abr 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 41+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marine Le Pen" at 34%, followed by "Édouard Philippe" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" has generated $133 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas," browse the 41+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" is "Marine Le Pen" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Édouard Philippe" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.