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Eleições·Principal Da Casa

NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Eleições·Principal Da Casa

NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Rebecca Bennett 93%

Brian Varela 3.3%

Tina Shah 3.0%

Michael Roth 1.7%

Polymarket
NOVO

Rebecca Bennett 93%

Brian Varela 3.3%

Tina Shah 3.0%

Michael Roth 1.7%

Polymarket
NOVO

Rebecca Bennett

$2,152 Vol.

93%

Brian Varela

$1,350 Vol.

3%

Tina Shah

$864 Vol.

3%

Michael Roth

$1,384 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rebecca Bennett maintains a commanding position in the NJ-07 Democratic primary due to endorsements from four of the six county party organizations, over $2.65 million in fundraising with substantial cash reserves, and polling leads more than double those of rivals Brian Varela, Tina Shah, and Michael Roth among likely primary voters focused on defeating incumbent Rep. Tom Kean Jr. These elements have shaped trader consensus around her 92.5% implied probability ahead of early voting on May 26 and the June 2 primary. Recent developments, including her digital ad releases and negative advertising from one opponent, have not shifted this positioning. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the gap include an unexpected turnout surge for lesser-known candidates or late shifts in voter sentiment on key issues such as healthcare and affordability.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$5,750
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rebecca Bennett maintains a commanding position in the NJ-07 Democratic primary due to endorsements from four of the six county party organizations, over $2.65 million in fundraising with substantial cash reserves, and polling leads more than double those of rivals Brian Varela, Tina Shah, and Michael Roth among likely primary voters focused on defeating incumbent Rep. Tom Kean Jr. These elements have shaped trader consensus around her 92.5% implied probability ahead of early voting on May 26 and the June 2 primary. Recent developments, including her digital ad releases and negative advertising from one opponent, have not shifted this positioning. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the gap include an unexpected turnout surge for lesser-known candidates or late shifts in voter sentiment on key issues such as healthcare and affordability.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$5,750
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rebecca Bennett" at 93%, followed by "Brian Varela" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Rebecca Bennett" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brian Varela" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.