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NV-02 Republican Primary Winner

icon for NV-02 Republican Primary Winner

NV-02 Republican Primary Winner

David Flippo 77%

James Settelmeyer 14%

Bill Conrad 5.2%

Rick Shepherd 2.0%

Polymarket
NOVO

David Flippo 77%

James Settelmeyer 14%

Bill Conrad 5.2%

Rick Shepherd 2.0%

Polymarket
NOVO

David Flippo

$584 Vol.

83%

James Settelmeyer

$483 Vol.

12%

Bill Conrad

$209 Vol.

5%

Rick Shepherd

$184 Vol.

2%

Jennifer Billat

$187 Vol.

2%

Bruce Grego

$163 Vol.

1%

Fred Simon

$194 Vol.

1%

Jerry Olsen

$187 Vol.

1%

George Forbush

$157 Vol.

1%

Jesse Watts

$172 Vol.

1%

Tom Doyle

$657 Vol.

1%

Doug Miller

$243 Vol.

11%

Sherman Tylawsky

$157 Vol.

1%

Andrea Lowe

$361 Vol.

1%

Mike Smith

$512 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trump’s May 29 endorsement of retired Lt. Col. David Flippo as an “America First Patriot” has consolidated trader support in the June 9 Republican primary for Nevada’s open 2nd Congressional District seat. The endorsement elevated Flippo, who previously ran in the southern district, over former state Sen. James Settelmeyer, who holds backing from Gov. Joe Lombardo and retiring Rep. Mark Amodei. With 13 candidates on the ballot in this safely Republican northern Nevada district, the market assigns Flippo an 80% implied probability while spreading the remainder thinly among lower-profile contenders. The timing of the presidential backing, just days before the primary, appears to have driven the current pricing as traders assess its impact on voter turnout and party alignment.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,450
Data de Término
9 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 25, 2026, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trump’s May 29 endorsement of retired Lt. Col. David Flippo as an “America First Patriot” has consolidated trader support in the June 9 Republican primary for Nevada’s open 2nd Congressional District seat. The endorsement elevated Flippo, who previously ran in the southern district, over former state Sen. James Settelmeyer, who holds backing from Gov. Joe Lombardo and retiring Rep. Mark Amodei. With 13 candidates on the ballot in this safely Republican northern Nevada district, the market assigns Flippo an 80% implied probability while spreading the remainder thinly among lower-profile contenders. The timing of the presidential backing, just days before the primary, appears to have driven the current pricing as traders assess its impact on voter turnout and party alignment.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,450
Data de Término
9 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 25, 2026, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NV-02 Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "David Flippo" at 83%, followed by "James Settelmeyer" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NV-02 Republican Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NV-02 Republican Primary Winner," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NV-02 Republican Primary Winner" is "David Flippo" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "James Settelmeyer" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NV-02 Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.