Darializa Avila Chevalier leads the NY-13 Democratic primary market at 59 percent amid a competitive June 23 contest against five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat at 32 percent. The progressive challenger, backed by the Democratic Socialists of America and emphasizing pro-Palestine positions, has drawn significant attention in Upper Manhattan and northwest Bronx neighborhoods as a first-time candidate targeting the Harlem political establishment. Espaillat has responded with intensified fundraising and outreach while facing recent campaign missteps, including a flyer that used an incorrect photo of his opponent. Minor candidates remain at negligible levels, reflecting limited traction ahead of the primary. Trader consensus in these prices captures the uncertainty in a race where the incumbent's long tenure faces an organized insurgent effort with roughly one month remaining.