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Desporto·Futebol

Primeira Liga: 16º Lugar (Sobrevivente de Rebaixamento)

Market icon
Desporto·Futebol

Primeira Liga: 16º Lugar (Sobrevivente de Rebaixamento)

Tondela 65%

Casa Pia 60%

Nacional 60%

Vitória de Guimarães 59%

Polymarket
NOVO

Tondela 65%

Casa Pia 60%

Nacional 60%

Vitória de Guimarães 59%

Polymarket
NOVO

Tondela

$0 Vol.

65%

Casa Pia

$0 Vol.

60%

Nacional

$0 Vol.

60%

Vitória de Guimarães

$20 Vol.

59%

Estoril Praia

$80 Vol.

58%

Santa Clara

$0 Vol.

57%

Moreirense

$20 Vol.

57%

Arouca

$0 Vol.

56%

AVS

$0 Vol.

55%

Alverca

$5 Vol.

54%

Estrela da Amadora

$0 Vol.

44%

Rio Ave

$0 Vol.

20%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a fiercely contested Primeira Liga relegation playoff race for 16th place, with Tondela (33%), Casa Pia (30.5%), and Nacional (30.5%) leading implied probabilities amid a bunched bottom table after 28-29 matchdays. Casa Pia holds 16th on 25 points from 28 games, tied with Nacional (15th, 25 points from 29), ahead of Tondela (17th, 21 points from 28), while Santa Clara and Estrela da Amadora sit on 28 points in 13th-14th. Recent results like Vitória de Guimarães' 5-0 thrashing of Tondela on April 3 and draws/low-scoring affairs have kept gaps minimal at 1-4 points, with 4-5 fixtures remaining including pivotal head-to-heads: Casa Pia vs. Santa Clara this weekend and Tondela vs. Nacional on April 26. Favorable run-ins and home form bolster Tondela's edge despite their deficit, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing upset potential.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,673
Data de Término
1 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 6, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a fiercely contested Primeira Liga relegation playoff race for 16th place, with Tondela (33%), Casa Pia (30.5%), and Nacional (30.5%) leading implied probabilities amid a bunched bottom table after 28-29 matchdays. Casa Pia holds 16th on 25 points from 28 games, tied with Nacional (15th, 25 points from 29), ahead of Tondela (17th, 21 points from 28), while Santa Clara and Estrela da Amadora sit on 28 points in 13th-14th. Recent results like Vitória de Guimarães' 5-0 thrashing of Tondela on April 3 and draws/low-scoring affairs have kept gaps minimal at 1-4 points, with 4-5 fixtures remaining including pivotal head-to-heads: Casa Pia vs. Santa Clara this weekend and Tondela vs. Nacional on April 26. Favorable run-ins and home form bolster Tondela's edge despite their deficit, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing upset potential.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,673
Data de Término
1 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 6, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Primeira Liga: 16º Lugar (Sobrevivente de Rebaixamento)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tondela" at 33%, followed by "Casa Pia" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Primeira Liga: 16º Lugar (Sobrevivente de Rebaixamento)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Primeira Liga: 16º Lugar (Sobrevivente de Rebaixamento)," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Primeira Liga: 16º Lugar (Sobrevivente de Rebaixamento)" is "Tondela" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Casa Pia" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Primeira Liga: 16º Lugar (Sobrevivente de Rebaixamento)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.