Tech companies have announced over 123,000 layoffs through early September 2026 according to Layoffs.fyi—already exceeding the full-year 2025 total of roughly 122,600—with trackers like TrueUp reporting 160,000–175,000 cuts and a faster pace than last year. AI infrastructure spending and automation have driven the majority of reductions at firms including Oracle, Meta, Amazon, Microsoft, and Dell, as executives reallocate resources from legacy roles toward model development and data centers while citing productivity gains. Recent rounds at Oracle, PayPal, and others show the trend persisting into the second half, supporting the market’s 88% implied probability that 2026 totals will finish higher than 2025.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoDemissões de tecnologia para cima ou para baixo em 2026?
Demissões de tecnologia para cima ou para baixo em 2026?
Aumentarão
88% chance
$25,972 Vol.
$25,972 Vol.
27 fev 2027
Aumentarão
88% chance
$25,972 Vol.
$25,972 Vol.
27 fev 2027
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tech companies have announced over 123,000 layoffs through early September 2026 according to Layoffs.fyi—already exceeding the full-year 2025 total of roughly 122,600—with trackers like TrueUp reporting 160,000–175,000 cuts and a faster pace than last year. AI infrastructure spending and automation have driven the majority of reductions at firms including Oracle, Meta, Amazon, Microsoft, and Dell, as executives reallocate resources from legacy roles toward model development and data centers while citing productivity gains. Recent rounds at Oracle, PayPal, and others show the trend persisting into the second half, supporting the market’s 88% implied probability that 2026 totals will finish higher than 2025.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Volume
$25,972Data de Término
28 fev 2027Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tech companies have announced over 123,000 layoffs through early September 2026 according to Layoffs.fyi—already exceeding the full-year 2025 total of roughly 122,600—with trackers like TrueUp reporting 160,000–175,000 cuts and a faster pace than last year. AI infrastructure spending and automation have driven the majority of reductions at firms including Oracle, Meta, Amazon, Microsoft, and Dell, as executives reallocate resources from legacy roles toward model development and data centers while citing productivity gains. Recent rounds at Oracle, PayPal, and others show the trend persisting into the second half, supporting the market’s 88% implied probability that 2026 totals will finish higher than 2025.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$25,972Data de Término
28 fev 2027Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tech companies have announced over 123,000 layoffs through early September 2026 according to Layoffs.fyi—already exceeding the full-year 2025 total of roughly 122,600—with trackers like TrueUp reporting 160,000–175,000 cuts and a faster pace than last year. AI infrastructure spending and automation have driven the majority of reductions at firms including Oracle, Meta, Amazon, Microsoft, and Dell, as executives reallocate resources from legacy roles toward model development and data centers while citing productivity gains. Recent rounds at Oracle, PayPal, and others show the trend persisting into the second half, supporting the market’s 88% implied probability that 2026 totals will finish higher than 2025.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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