Trader consensus favors FC Bayern München at 45.5% implied probability to win the Champions League quarterfinal first leg at Santiago Bernabéu, driven by returns of Jamal Musiala and Alphonso Davies boosting their squad depth amid Harry Kane's ankle injury doubt from international duty—he misses Saturday's Bundesliga but targets Tuesday. Real Madrid CF lags at 33.5% due to an ongoing injury crisis, with Thibaut Courtois sidelined by thigh issues, Rodrygo out long-term, Ferland Mendy absent, and Jude Bellingham unlikely to start as interim coach Álvaro Arbeloa prioritizes his hamstring recovery. Draw trades at 23.5% in this closely contested tie, despite Real's eight-game UCL unbeaten streak versus Bayern since 2014.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors FC Bayern München at 45.5% implied probability to win the Champions League quarterfinal first leg at Santiago Bernabéu, driven by returns of Jamal Musiala and Alphonso Davies boosting their squad depth amid Harry Kane's ankle injury doubt from international duty—he misses Saturday's Bundesliga but targets Tuesday. Real Madrid CF lags at 33.5% due to an ongoing injury crisis, with Thibaut Courtois sidelined by thigh issues, Rodrygo out long-term, Ferland Mendy absent, and Jude Bellingham unlikely to start as interim coach Álvaro Arbeloa prioritizes his hamstring recovery. Draw trades at 23.5% in this closely contested tie, despite Real's eight-game UCL unbeaten streak versus Bayern since 2014.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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