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UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to semis

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UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to semis

$37,082 Vol.

8 mai 2026
Polymarket

$37,082 Vol.

Polymarket

Aston Villa

$734 Vol.

97%

Freiburg

$3,188 Vol.

93%

Real Betis

$3,228 Vol.

70%

Nottingham Forest

$4,779 Vol.

56%

Porto

$2,748 Vol.

44%

Braga

$616 Vol.

31%

Celta

$1,695 Vol.

9%

Bologna

$20,094 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.First-leg quarter-final results from April 9 have decisively shaped trader consensus for UEFA Europa League advancement to the semi-finals, with second legs set for April 16. Aston Villa commands a 3-1 aggregate lead over Bologna after a dominant away victory powered by Ollie Watkins' brace, bolstered by their strong knockout form and squad depth. Freiburg holds an even stronger 3-0 edge against Celta Vigo following a comprehensive home win, leveraging defensive solidity and attacking fluency. Tight 1-1 draws in Braga-Real Betis and Nottingham Forest-Porto leave those ties poised for dramatic return legs, where home advantage for Betis and Porto could sway outcomes amid clean sheets and recent momentum. No major injuries reported, though fatigue from domestic schedules looms.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$37,082
Data de Término
8 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 10, 2026, 1:20 PM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.First-leg quarter-final results from April 9 have decisively shaped trader consensus for UEFA Europa League advancement to the semi-finals, with second legs set for April 16. Aston Villa commands a 3-1 aggregate lead over Bologna after a dominant away victory powered by Ollie Watkins' brace, bolstered by their strong knockout form and squad depth. Freiburg holds an even stronger 3-0 edge against Celta Vigo following a comprehensive home win, leveraging defensive solidity and attacking fluency. Tight 1-1 draws in Braga-Real Betis and Nottingham Forest-Porto leave those ties poised for dramatic return legs, where home advantage for Betis and Porto could sway outcomes amid clean sheets and recent momentum. No major injuries reported, though fatigue from domestic schedules looms.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$37,082
Data de Término
8 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 10, 2026, 1:20 PM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to semis" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aston Villa" at 97%, followed by "Freiburg" at 93%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to semis" has generated $37.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to semis," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to semis" is "Aston Villa" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Freiburg" at 93%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to semis" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.