President Trump's exclusive interview with Maria Bartiromo on Fox Business' Mornings with Maria, airing April 15 at 6 a.m. ET, has drawn trader focus amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict, with pre-released clips featuring his claim that the war is "very close to being over" as peace talks prepare to resume following stalled ceasefire negotiations. Recent developments, including reports of potential de-escalation signals and Iranian naval vulnerabilities like blockades or mines, elevate odds on related foreign policy terms, while Fox Business' economic lens boosts expectations for discussions on tariffs, inflation, stock indices, and criticisms of Democrats or Biden. Trump's rhetorical style—repetitive hyperbole with numbers, "stupid," or "fake news"—informs bets on phrase frequencies, shaped by his past interviews rather than events over 30 days old. Full transcript will resolve markets.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$74,701 Vol.
Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times
60%
Tax / Tariff 5+ times
72%
Biden
81%
Democrat
76%
Gay
5%
Midterm
50%
Dow / S&P
72%
Drug
30%
Fake news
57%
Leo / Pope
40%
Stupid
56%
Paper tiger
43%
Boat
51%
Hottest
43%
Russia
83%
Inflation
70%
Too Late / Fed
62%
King
32%
MAGA / Make America Great Again
37%
Blockade
84%
Underwater
36%
Mine
60%
JD / Vance
68%
Greatest Military
71%
Patriot
42%
Bottom of the Sea
44%
-No Qualifying Event-
1%
$74,701 Vol.
Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times
60%
Tax / Tariff 5+ times
72%
Biden
81%
Democrat
76%
Gay
5%
Midterm
50%
Dow / S&P
72%
Drug
30%
Fake news
57%
Leo / Pope
40%
Stupid
56%
Paper tiger
43%
Boat
51%
Hottest
43%
Russia
83%
Inflation
70%
Too Late / Fed
62%
King
32%
MAGA / Make America Great Again
37%
Blockade
84%
Underwater
36%
Mine
60%
JD / Vance
68%
Greatest Military
71%
Patriot
42%
Bottom of the Sea
44%
-No Qualifying Event-
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Fox Business interview scheduled for April 15, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the Fox Business interview scheduled for April 15, 2026. (See: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wmwVQMWTqD0&start=2027). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 13, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Fox Business interview scheduled for April 15, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the Fox Business interview scheduled for April 15, 2026. (See: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wmwVQMWTqD0&start=2027). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's exclusive interview with Maria Bartiromo on Fox Business' Mornings with Maria, airing April 15 at 6 a.m. ET, has drawn trader focus amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict, with pre-released clips featuring his claim that the war is "very close to being over" as peace talks prepare to resume following stalled ceasefire negotiations. Recent developments, including reports of potential de-escalation signals and Iranian naval vulnerabilities like blockades or mines, elevate odds on related foreign policy terms, while Fox Business' economic lens boosts expectations for discussions on tariffs, inflation, stock indices, and criticisms of Democrats or Biden. Trump's rhetorical style—repetitive hyperbole with numbers, "stupid," or "fake news"—informs bets on phrase frequencies, shaped by his past interviews rather than events over 30 days old. Full transcript will resolve markets.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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