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icon for Qual equipa substituirá o Irão no Campeonato do Mundo?

Qual equipa substituirá o Irão no Campeonato do Mundo?

icon for Qual equipa substituirá o Irão no Campeonato do Mundo?

Qual equipa substituirá o Irão no Campeonato do Mundo?

No Replacement 96.6%

Other 1.3%

Italy 1.1%

UAE <1%

Polymarket

$59,283 Vol.

No Replacement 96.6%

Other 1.3%

Italy 1.1%

UAE <1%

Polymarket

$59,283 Vol.

icon for No Replacement

No Replacement

$18,105 Vol.

97%

icon for Other

Other

$4,982 Vol.

1%

icon for Italy

Italy

$28,168 Vol.

1%

icon for UAE

UAE

$5,257 Vol.

1%

icon for Bolivia

Bolivia

$2,771 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA has repeatedly affirmed that Iran will participate in the 2026 World Cup as qualified, with no plans for replacement despite a U.S. envoy's suggestion to substitute Italy. Italian officials quickly rejected the idea as inappropriate and against merit-based qualification, while Iran has advanced logistical preparations including an approved base camp switch to Tijuana, Mexico, to address visa constraints. This official stance and ongoing team arrangements underpin the overwhelming market consensus for no replacement. A withdrawal by Iran due to unresolved political or travel barriers remains a low-probability scenario that could open a spot for another AFC side such as the UAE.

This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$59,283
Data de Término
31 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA has repeatedly affirmed that Iran will participate in the 2026 World Cup as qualified, with no plans for replacement despite a U.S. envoy's suggestion to substitute Italy. Italian officials quickly rejected the idea as inappropriate and against merit-based qualification, while Iran has advanced logistical preparations including an approved base camp switch to Tijuana, Mexico, to address visa constraints. This official stance and ongoing team arrangements underpin the overwhelming market consensus for no replacement. A withdrawal by Iran due to unresolved political or travel barriers remains a low-probability scenario that could open a spot for another AFC side such as the UAE.

This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$59,283
Data de Término
31 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Qual equipa substituirá o Irão no Campeonato do Mundo?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No Replacement" at 97%, followed by "Other" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Qual equipa substituirá o Irão no Campeonato do Mundo?" has generated $59.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Qual equipa substituirá o Irão no Campeonato do Mundo?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qual equipa substituirá o Irão no Campeonato do Mundo?" is "No Replacement" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Other" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qual equipa substituirá o Irão no Campeonato do Mundo?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.