The near-inevitability of first-round upsets in the NCAA Tournament has driven trader consensus to 86.5% "No" for any bracket surviving intact, as March Madness chaos routinely shatters perfection. Key bracket-busters like No. 13 Yale's shocking defeat of No. 4 Auburn, No. 11 NC State's comeback over No. 6 Texas Tech, and No. 12 UAB's upset of No. 5 San Diego State eliminated all tracked perfect entries on ESPN and Yahoo after 32 games. Historical trends amplify this—12-seeds upset 5-seeds about 35% of the time—while peaking mid-majors and road-weary high seeds heighten volatility in the round of 64.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoAlgum grupo sobreviverá à primeira rodada do torneio da NCAA?
Algum grupo sobreviverá à primeira rodada do torneio da NCAA?
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if anyone completes a perfect bracket for the First Round (Round of 64) of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament on any of the following websites per the rules of the respective site: ESPN, NCAA.com, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, Kalshi. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A perfect bracket is defined exclusively as a bracket that selects the correct outcome of every game during the First Round (Round of 64) of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament. A perfect bracket only qualifies for a completed First Round. Perfect brackets for incomplete or partially completed First Rounds will not be considered. No form of ‘second chance’ bracket will be considered. Only brackets that can be verified as having been submitted before the start of the first Round of 64 game will be considered.
If the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament First Round is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from ESPN, NCAA, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, or Kalshi.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if anyone completes a perfect bracket for the First Round (Round of 64) of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament on any of the following websites per the rules of the respective site: ESPN, NCAA.com, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, Kalshi. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A perfect bracket is defined exclusively as a bracket that selects the correct outcome of every game during the First Round (Round of 64) of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament. A perfect bracket only qualifies for a completed First Round. Perfect brackets for incomplete or partially completed First Rounds will not be considered. No form of ‘second chance’ bracket will be considered. Only brackets that can be verified as having been submitted before the start of the first Round of 64 game will be considered.
If the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament First Round is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from ESPN, NCAA, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, or Kalshi.This market will resolve to “Yes” if anyone completes a perfect bracket for the First Round (Round of 64) of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament on any of the following websites per the rules of the respective site: ESPN, NCAA.com, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, Kalshi. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A perfect bracket is defined exclusively as a bracket that selects the correct outcome of every game during the First Round (Round of 64) of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament. A perfect bracket only qualifies for a completed First Round. Perfect brackets for incomplete or partially completed First Rounds will not be considered. No form of ‘second chance’ bracket will be considered. Only brackets that can be verified as having been submitted before the start of the first Round of 64 game will be considered.
If the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament First Round is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from ESPN, NCAA, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, or Kalshi.
A perfect bracket is defined exclusively as a bracket that selects the correct outcome of every game during the First Round (Round of 64) of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament. A perfect bracket only qualifies for a completed First Round. Perfect brackets for incomplete or partially completed First Rounds will not be considered. No form of ‘second chance’ bracket will be considered. Only brackets that can be verified as having been submitted before the start of the first Round of 64 game will be considered.
If the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament First Round is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from ESPN, NCAA, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, or Kalshi.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volume
$113Mercado Aberto
Mar 19, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if anyone completes a perfect bracket for the First Round (Round of 64) of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament on any of the following websites per the rules of the respective site: ESPN, NCAA.com, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, Kalshi. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A perfect bracket is defined exclusively as a bracket that selects the correct outcome of every game during the First Round (Round of 64) of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament. A perfect bracket only qualifies for a completed First Round. Perfect brackets for incomplete or partially completed First Rounds will not be considered. No form of ‘second chance’ bracket will be considered. Only brackets that can be verified as having been submitted before the start of the first Round of 64 game will be considered.
If the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament First Round is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from ESPN, NCAA, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, or Kalshi.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if anyone completes a perfect bracket for the First Round (Round of 64) of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament on any of the following websites per the rules of the respective site: ESPN, NCAA.com, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, Kalshi. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A perfect bracket is defined exclusively as a bracket that selects the correct outcome of every game during the First Round (Round of 64) of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament. A perfect bracket only qualifies for a completed First Round. Perfect brackets for incomplete or partially completed First Rounds will not be considered. No form of ‘second chance’ bracket will be considered. Only brackets that can be verified as having been submitted before the start of the first Round of 64 game will be considered.
If the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament First Round is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from ESPN, NCAA, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, or Kalshi.This market will resolve to “Yes” if anyone completes a perfect bracket for the First Round (Round of 64) of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament on any of the following websites per the rules of the respective site: ESPN, NCAA.com, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, Kalshi. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A perfect bracket is defined exclusively as a bracket that selects the correct outcome of every game during the First Round (Round of 64) of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament. A perfect bracket only qualifies for a completed First Round. Perfect brackets for incomplete or partially completed First Rounds will not be considered. No form of ‘second chance’ bracket will be considered. Only brackets that can be verified as having been submitted before the start of the first Round of 64 game will be considered.
If the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament First Round is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from ESPN, NCAA, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, or Kalshi.
A perfect bracket is defined exclusively as a bracket that selects the correct outcome of every game during the First Round (Round of 64) of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament. A perfect bracket only qualifies for a completed First Round. Perfect brackets for incomplete or partially completed First Rounds will not be considered. No form of ‘second chance’ bracket will be considered. Only brackets that can be verified as having been submitted before the start of the first Round of 64 game will be considered.
If the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament First Round is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from ESPN, NCAA, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, or Kalshi.
Volume
$113Mercado Aberto
Mar 19, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The near-inevitability of first-round upsets in the NCAA Tournament has driven trader consensus to 86.5% "No" for any bracket surviving intact, as March Madness chaos routinely shatters perfection. Key bracket-busters like No. 13 Yale's shocking defeat of No. 4 Auburn, No. 11 NC State's comeback over No. 6 Texas Tech, and No. 12 UAB's upset of No. 5 San Diego State eliminated all tracked perfect entries on ESPN and Yahoo after 32 games. Historical trends amplify this—12-seeds upset 5-seeds about 35% of the time—while peaking mid-majors and road-weary high seeds heighten volatility in the round of 64.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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