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icon for A Máquina a Vapor custará $ 700 ou mais no lançamento?

A Máquina a Vapor custará $ 700 ou mais no lançamento?

icon for A Máquina a Vapor custará $ 700 ou mais no lançamento?

A Máquina a Vapor custará $ 700 ou mais no lançamento?

Sim

>99% chance
Polymarket

$174,827 Vol.

Sim

>99% chance
Polymarket

$174,827 Vol.

Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify. If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rising memory and storage chip prices amid the ongoing AI infrastructure boom have pushed expected costs for Valve’s new Steam Machine well above earlier $600–700 targets. Recent retailer leaks and third-party bill-of-materials estimates now place the 512 GB model near $799 and the 2 TB version closer to $999, reflecting AMD-powered hardware comparable to mid-range desktop PCs without Windows licensing subsidies. Valve’s repeated delays—from early 2026 to a confirmed summer launch—have reinforced trader views that the company will price the device in line with current PC market realities rather than absorbing losses. While a last-minute cost-reduction effort or aggressive subsidy could still pull the base SKU below $700, the sustained component-price pressure and Valve’s stated “no subsidy” stance make such an outcome unlikely before release.

Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify.

If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$174,827
Data de Término
31 dez 2025
Mercado Aberto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:16 PM ET
Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify. If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify. If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rising memory and storage chip prices amid the ongoing AI infrastructure boom have pushed expected costs for Valve’s new Steam Machine well above earlier $600–700 targets. Recent retailer leaks and third-party bill-of-materials estimates now place the 512 GB model near $799 and the 2 TB version closer to $999, reflecting AMD-powered hardware comparable to mid-range desktop PCs without Windows licensing subsidies. Valve’s repeated delays—from early 2026 to a confirmed summer launch—have reinforced trader views that the company will price the device in line with current PC market realities rather than absorbing losses. While a last-minute cost-reduction effort or aggressive subsidy could still pull the base SKU below $700, the sustained component-price pressure and Valve’s stated “no subsidy” stance make such an outcome unlikely before release.

Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify.

If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$174,827
Data de Término
31 dez 2025
Mercado Aberto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:16 PM ET
Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify. If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"A Máquina a Vapor custará $ 700 ou mais no lançamento?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A Steam Machine vai custar $700 ou mais no lançamento?" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "A Máquina a Vapor custará $ 700 ou mais no lançamento?" has generated $174.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 14, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "A Máquina a Vapor custará $ 700 ou mais no lançamento?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "A Máquina a Vapor custará $ 700 ou mais no lançamento?" is "A Steam Machine vai custar $700 ou mais no lançamento?" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "A Máquina a Vapor custará $ 700 ou mais no lançamento?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.