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icon for A Trump Mobile lançará um telefone até...?

A Trump Mobile lançará um telefone até...?

icon for A Trump Mobile lançará um telefone até...?

A Trump Mobile lançará um telefone até...?

$47,978 Vol.

30 abr 2026
Polymarket

$47,978 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de abril

$7,923 Vol.

Não

30 de junho

$40,055 Vol.

Sim

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump Mobile's T1 smartphone, announced in June 2025 by Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump with initial promises of a U.S.-made device launching that summer, has faced repeated delays pushing any release well into 2026. Multiple missed targets—including November, December, and March deadlines—stemmed from manufacturing hurdles and a quiet shift away from domestic production claims. As of mid-May 2026, the company confirmed pre-order shipments would begin that week, with media outlets receiving units shortly after for reviews that highlighted its resemblance to existing Android models. Full order fulfillment was slated to wrap within several weeks, providing the clearest signal yet on whether the long-promised device would reach customers before any specific market cutoff. Traders should monitor completion reports and any final delivery confirmations for resolution clarity.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify.

Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$47,978
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 2:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump Mobile's T1 smartphone, announced in June 2025 by Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump with initial promises of a U.S.-made device launching that summer, has faced repeated delays pushing any release well into 2026. Multiple missed targets—including November, December, and March deadlines—stemmed from manufacturing hurdles and a quiet shift away from domestic production claims. As of mid-May 2026, the company confirmed pre-order shipments would begin that week, with media outlets receiving units shortly after for reviews that highlighted its resemblance to existing Android models. Full order fulfillment was slated to wrap within several weeks, providing the clearest signal yet on whether the long-promised device would reach customers before any specific market cutoff. Traders should monitor completion reports and any final delivery confirmations for resolution clarity.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify.

Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$47,978
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 2:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"A Trump Mobile lançará um telefone até...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30 de junho" at 100%, followed by "30 de abril" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "A Trump Mobile lançará um telefone até...?" has generated $48K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "A Trump Mobile lançará um telefone até...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "A Trump Mobile lançará um telefone até...?" is "30 de junho" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de abril" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "A Trump Mobile lançará um telefone até...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.