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icon for WNBA: 2026 MVP

WNBA: 2026 MVP

icon for WNBA: 2026 MVP

WNBA: 2026 MVP

A'ja Wilson 91%

Caitlin Clark 4.5%

Olivia Miles 3.7%

Alyssa Thomas <1%

Polymarket

$218,052 Vol.

A'ja Wilson 91%

Caitlin Clark 4.5%

Olivia Miles 3.7%

Alyssa Thomas <1%

Polymarket

$218,052 Vol.

A'ja Wilson

$51,814 Vol.

91%

Caitlin Clark

$19,110 Vol.

4%

Olivia Miles

$7,709 Vol.

4%

Alyssa Thomas

$94,788 Vol.

<1%

Breanna Stewart

$1,039 Vol.

<1%

Napheesa Collier

$1,366 Vol.

<1%

Sabrina Ionescu

$1,376 Vol.

<1%

Kelsey Plum

$1,475 Vol.

<1%

Allisha Gray

$1,025 Vol.

<1%

Satou Sabally

$26,729 Vol.

<1%

Rhyne Howard

$1,084 Vol.

<1%

Paige Bueckers

$5,059 Vol.

<1%

Gabby Williams

$1,844 Vol.

<1%

Nneka Ogwumike

$1,705 Vol.

<1%

Jackie Young

$1,929 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A'ja Wilson's commanding lead in the 2026 WNBA MVP market stems from her historic two-way dominance for the Las Vegas Aces. She leads the league in scoring at roughly 26 points per game while topping or ranking near the top in blocks, player efficiency rating, and win shares, with efficient interior scoring, rebounding around 9.5 per game, and defensive impact that creates massive on-court differentials for her third-place team. As a four-time MVP chasing a record fifth award, her consistent production through the regular season's final weeks has solidified trader consensus around her implied probability exceeding 90 percent. Realistic challenges include a late-season injury, significant voter fatigue despite her statistical edge, or an unprecedented surge from contenders like Olivia Miles on the top-seeded Lynx or Caitlin Clark, though such shifts remain unlikely without major disruptions.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$218,052
Data de Término
25 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 21, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A'ja Wilson's commanding lead in the 2026 WNBA MVP market stems from her historic two-way dominance for the Las Vegas Aces. She leads the league in scoring at roughly 26 points per game while topping or ranking near the top in blocks, player efficiency rating, and win shares, with efficient interior scoring, rebounding around 9.5 per game, and defensive impact that creates massive on-court differentials for her third-place team. As a four-time MVP chasing a record fifth award, her consistent production through the regular season's final weeks has solidified trader consensus around her implied probability exceeding 90 percent. Realistic challenges include a late-season injury, significant voter fatigue despite her statistical edge, or an unprecedented surge from contenders like Olivia Miles on the top-seeded Lynx or Caitlin Clark, though such shifts remain unlikely without major disruptions.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$218,052
Data de Término
25 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 21, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"WNBA: 2026 MVP" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A'ja Wilson" at 91%, followed by "Caitlin Clark" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "WNBA: 2026 MVP" has generated $218.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "WNBA: 2026 MVP," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "WNBA: 2026 MVP" is "A'ja Wilson" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Caitlin Clark" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "WNBA: 2026 MVP" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.