The 2026 World Cup Golden Boot market reflects a tight field where Kylian Mbappe holds the narrowest edge at 16.0% implied probability due to France’s attacking depth and his proven tournament scoring record, followed closely by Harry Kane at 12.5% on the strength of England’s forward options. Spain’s contingent, led by Mikel Oyarzabal at 7.5%, benefits from collective expectations around a deep run and balanced attack, while Erling Haaland’s 5.5% and Cristiano Ronaldo’s 5.3% capture Norway and Portugal’s reliance on individual firepower. With no single player exceeding 16% and multiple stars clustered between 3-8%, traders price in the inherent variance of a 48-team group stage plus knockout format, where goal tallies hinge on minutes played, defensive matchups, and late-round advancement rather than pre-tournament form alone.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCopa do Mundo: Vencedor da Chuteira de Ouro
Kylian Mbappe 16%
Harry Kane 13%
Mikel Oyarzabal 8%
Erling Haaland 6%
$2,107,975 Vol.
$2,107,975 Vol.
Kylian Mbappe
16%
Harry Kane
13%
Mikel Oyarzabal
8%
Erling Haaland
6%
Cristiano Ronaldo
5%
Lionel Messi
5%
Lamine Yamal
4%
Vinicius Junior
3%
Raphinha
3%
Ousmane Dembele
3%
Ferran Torres
3%
Julian Alvarez
3%
Lautaro Martinez
2%
Igor Thiago
2%
Cody Gakpo
2%
Luis Diaz
2%
Michael Olise
2%
Deniz Undav
2%
Federico Valverde
1%
Marcus Thuram
1%
Luis Javier Suárez
1%
Viktor Gyökeres
1%
Jude Bellingham
1%
Depay Memphis
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Bukayo Saka
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Heung-Min Son
1%
Edin Džeko
1%
Sadio Mane
1%
Scott McTominay
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Dani Olmo
<1%
Rafael Leao
<1%
Antoine Semenyo
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
Kylian Mbappe 16%
Harry Kane 13%
Mikel Oyarzabal 8%
Erling Haaland 6%
$2,107,975 Vol.
$2,107,975 Vol.
Kylian Mbappe
16%
Harry Kane
13%
Mikel Oyarzabal
8%
Erling Haaland
6%
Cristiano Ronaldo
5%
Lionel Messi
5%
Lamine Yamal
4%
Vinicius Junior
3%
Raphinha
3%
Ousmane Dembele
3%
Ferran Torres
3%
Julian Alvarez
3%
Lautaro Martinez
2%
Igor Thiago
2%
Cody Gakpo
2%
Luis Diaz
2%
Michael Olise
2%
Deniz Undav
2%
Federico Valverde
1%
Marcus Thuram
1%
Luis Javier Suárez
1%
Viktor Gyökeres
1%
Jude Bellingham
1%
Depay Memphis
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Bukayo Saka
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Heung-Min Son
1%
Edin Džeko
1%
Sadio Mane
1%
Scott McTominay
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Dani Olmo
<1%
Rafael Leao
<1%
Antoine Semenyo
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 World Cup Golden Boot market reflects a tight field where Kylian Mbappe holds the narrowest edge at 16.0% implied probability due to France’s attacking depth and his proven tournament scoring record, followed closely by Harry Kane at 12.5% on the strength of England’s forward options. Spain’s contingent, led by Mikel Oyarzabal at 7.5%, benefits from collective expectations around a deep run and balanced attack, while Erling Haaland’s 5.5% and Cristiano Ronaldo’s 5.3% capture Norway and Portugal’s reliance on individual firepower. With no single player exceeding 16% and multiple stars clustered between 3-8%, traders price in the inherent variance of a 48-team group stage plus knockout format, where goal tallies hinge on minutes played, defensive matchups, and late-round advancement rather than pre-tournament form alone.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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