In the ongoing FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament 2026 double round-robin in Cyprus, trader consensus reflects a dead-even field after four rounds, with all listed contenders priced at equal 50% implied probabilities amid minimal separation on the leaderboard. Early play has been draw-heavy—rounds one and two produced no decisive results—keeping points tight, as veterans like Aleksandra Goryachkina and Kateryna Lagno secure steady halves while young guns Bibisara Assaubayeva notched the first win over Zhu Jiner in round three before Zhu rebounded by defeating Divya Deshmukh in round four. Humpy Koneru's pre-event withdrawal for security reasons adds uncertainty, but the 14-round format favors rapid momentum shifts in this clash of high-Elo talents (Zhu at 2578 leading ratings), underscoring the wisdom-of-crowds view of no clear favorite among Vaishali R, Tan Zhongyi, and others.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоZhu Jiner 34%
Kateryna Lagno 28%
Bibisara Assaubayeva 28%
Aleksandra Goryachkina 22%
Zhu Jiner
34%
Kateryna Lagno
28%
Bibisara Assaubayeva
28%
Aleksandra Goryachkina
22%
Vaishali R
18%
Divya Deshmukh
18%
Tan Zhongyi
18%
Хампи Конеру
1%
Zhu Jiner 34%
Kateryna Lagno 28%
Bibisara Assaubayeva 28%
Aleksandra Goryachkina 22%
Zhu Jiner
34%
Kateryna Lagno
28%
Bibisara Assaubayeva
28%
Aleksandra Goryachkina
22%
Vaishali R
18%
Divya Deshmukh
18%
Tan Zhongyi
18%
Хампи Конеру
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 3, 2026, 11:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the ongoing FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament 2026 double round-robin in Cyprus, trader consensus reflects a dead-even field after four rounds, with all listed contenders priced at equal 50% implied probabilities amid minimal separation on the leaderboard. Early play has been draw-heavy—rounds one and two produced no decisive results—keeping points tight, as veterans like Aleksandra Goryachkina and Kateryna Lagno secure steady halves while young guns Bibisara Assaubayeva notched the first win over Zhu Jiner in round three before Zhu rebounded by defeating Divya Deshmukh in round four. Humpy Koneru's pre-event withdrawal for security reasons adds uncertainty, but the 14-round format favors rapid momentum shifts in this clash of high-Elo talents (Zhu at 2578 leading ratings), underscoring the wisdom-of-crowds view of no clear favorite among Vaishali R, Tan Zhongyi, and others.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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