ABC canceled the already-filmed Season 22 of The Bachelorette starring Taylor Frankie Paul days before its planned March 22, 2026 premiere after a 2023 video of a physical altercation resurfaced, prompting Disney Entertainment Television to pull the season and prioritize family support. This decisive network action drives the dominant 80% market-implied probability for outright cancellation, reflecting traders' assessment of production realities and precedent for pulling controversial reality content. Doug Mason, widely reported by insiders as the frontrunner who received a proposal during filming, holds the next-highest implied odds at 13.4% amid speculation about possible limited release or alternative resolution paths, while the remaining contestants trail below 2% each. No new developments have altered the status since the March announcements, leaving the cancellation outcome as the clear market consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДевичник 22 сезон Победитель
Другое (сезон отменён) 80%
Даг Мейсон 13.4%
Мэтт Кэрролл 1.1%
Майкл Баба 1.0%
$2,456,291 Объем
$2,456,291 Объем
Другое (сезон отменён)
80%
Даг Мейсон
13%
Мэтт Кэрролл
1%
Майкл Баба
1%
Кейси Хакс
1%
Джонни ЛаРоссa
1%
Ронн Перес
1%
Род Строузер
1%
Малик Эванс
1%
Шейн Партон
1%
Клейтон Джонсон
1%
Джош Харвард
1%
Майк Туритто
<1%
Брэд Ледфорд
<1%
Маркус Ричардсон
<1%
Конрад Укропина
<1%
Ричард Ван Де Уотер
<1%
Брэндон Пёрс
<1%
Кристофер Вуд
<1%
Трентен Меррилл
<1%
Кевин Монтеро
<1%
Аарон Кан
<1%
Лью Эванс
<1%
Другое (сезон отменён) 80%
Даг Мейсон 13.4%
Мэтт Кэрролл 1.1%
Майкл Баба 1.0%
$2,456,291 Объем
$2,456,291 Объем
Другое (сезон отменён)
80%
Даг Мейсон
13%
Мэтт Кэрролл
1%
Майкл Баба
1%
Кейси Хакс
1%
Джонни ЛаРоссa
1%
Ронн Перес
1%
Род Строузер
1%
Малик Эванс
1%
Шейн Партон
1%
Клейтон Джонсон
1%
Джош Харвард
1%
Майк Туритто
<1%
Брэд Ледфорд
<1%
Маркус Ричардсон
<1%
Конрад Укропина
<1%
Ричард Ван Де Уотер
<1%
Брэндон Пёрс
<1%
Кристофер Вуд
<1%
Трентен Меррилл
<1%
Кевин Монтеро
<1%
Аарон Кан
<1%
Лью Эванс
<1%
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Открытие рынка: Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...ABC canceled the already-filmed Season 22 of The Bachelorette starring Taylor Frankie Paul days before its planned March 22, 2026 premiere after a 2023 video of a physical altercation resurfaced, prompting Disney Entertainment Television to pull the season and prioritize family support. This decisive network action drives the dominant 80% market-implied probability for outright cancellation, reflecting traders' assessment of production realities and precedent for pulling controversial reality content. Doug Mason, widely reported by insiders as the frontrunner who received a proposal during filming, holds the next-highest implied odds at 13.4% amid speculation about possible limited release or alternative resolution paths, while the remaining contestants trail below 2% each. No new developments have altered the status since the March announcements, leaving the cancellation outcome as the clear market consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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