Trader consensus on the Barstool After Dark bowling challenge sits at a razor-thin 51.5% implied probability for Yes, capturing the razor-edge balance between the crew's relentless commitment—locked in the alley overnight until a team perfect 300—and the steep odds of 12 straight strikes in scramble format among 12 amateur bowlers. Launched April 14 with Ohio's Tate, White Sox Dave, Barstool Chief, and others rotating frames, early stream hype highlights high bowling variance where hot hands can chain strikes but splits and opens abound. Live progress reports showing near-misses could propel Yes odds, while fatigue after hours of attempts or unconfirmed guest pro involvement like Pete Weber rumors might swing sentiment toward No by the April 28 deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБарный стул после наступления темноты: выдержит ли экипаж 300?
Барный стул после наступления темноты: выдержит ли экипаж 300?
Да
Да
Any deviation from the rules of the competition listed by Barstool in the official announcement quoted below will not count toward a “Yes” resolution. The rules for the competition are as follows:
"- It’s a bowling scramble just like a golf scramble. We all get to throw the 1st frame. As long as one of the 12 gets a strike, we take that persons score and move on to frame 2
- However then that person whose score we took is now OUT for the rest of the round
- So on frame 2, we have 11 people rolling, and as long as one person rolls a strike, we move on to frame 3
- And then on frame 3, we have 10 people rolling, and as long as one person rolls a strike, we move on to frame 4
- And so on and so on and so on until we’re starting on frame 9 with 4 people left needing a strike
- Then frame 10 with 3 people who need a strike, and then the 2nd ball of frame 10 with 2 people, then on the 3rd ball of frame 10, needing a strike for the 300, we’d have 1 person throwing 1 ball needing a strike"
Only the completion of the challenge by the listed members of the Barstool Crew will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If the Barstool crew or Barstool Sports announces a pause, break, or delay in the challenge with the intention of pausing/stopping the stream and resuming at a later time, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Barstool After Dark event is cancelled, postponed after April 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined if the crew completed the challenge within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Barstool Sports; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nJZrZMv-AQcResolver
0x65070BE91...Any deviation from the rules of the competition listed by Barstool in the official announcement quoted below will not count toward a “Yes” resolution. The rules for the competition are as follows:
"- It’s a bowling scramble just like a golf scramble. We all get to throw the 1st frame. As long as one of the 12 gets a strike, we take that persons score and move on to frame 2
- However then that person whose score we took is now OUT for the rest of the round
- So on frame 2, we have 11 people rolling, and as long as one person rolls a strike, we move on to frame 3
- And then on frame 3, we have 10 people rolling, and as long as one person rolls a strike, we move on to frame 4
- And so on and so on and so on until we’re starting on frame 9 with 4 people left needing a strike
- Then frame 10 with 3 people who need a strike, and then the 2nd ball of frame 10 with 2 people, then on the 3rd ball of frame 10, needing a strike for the 300, we’d have 1 person throwing 1 ball needing a strike"
Only the completion of the challenge by the listed members of the Barstool Crew will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If the Barstool crew or Barstool Sports announces a pause, break, or delay in the challenge with the intention of pausing/stopping the stream and resuming at a later time, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Barstool After Dark event is cancelled, postponed after April 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined if the crew completed the challenge within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Barstool Sports; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nJZrZMv-AQcResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on the Barstool After Dark bowling challenge sits at a razor-thin 51.5% implied probability for Yes, capturing the razor-edge balance between the crew's relentless commitment—locked in the alley overnight until a team perfect 300—and the steep odds of 12 straight strikes in scramble format among 12 amateur bowlers. Launched April 14 with Ohio's Tate, White Sox Dave, Barstool Chief, and others rotating frames, early stream hype highlights high bowling variance where hot hands can chain strikes but splits and opens abound. Live progress reports showing near-misses could propel Yes odds, while fatigue after hours of attempts or unconfirmed guest pro involvement like Pete Weber rumors might swing sentiment toward No by the April 28 deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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