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НОВОЕ
2 июн. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$97 Объем

Polymarket
icon for Hilda Solis

Hilda Solis

$51 Объем

75%

icon for Pedro Antonio Casas

Pedro Antonio Casas

$0 Объем

56%

icon for Monica Sánchez

Monica Sánchez

$0 Объем

47%

icon for Erik Lutz

Erik Lutz

$46 Объем

25%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 38th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California’s 38th congressional district features a June 2, 2026, top-two primary for a newly drawn seat created under Proposition 50 redistricting that strengthens Democratic positioning in the Los Angeles area. Hilda Solis, a longtime county supervisor and former U.S. representative, entered the race early and secured the state Democratic Party endorsement, positioning her as a frontrunner among several Democratic contenders including Erik Lutz and Monica Sanchez. A Republican candidate, Pedro Casas, is also on the ballot in the heavily Democratic district. With the filing deadline passed and the primary less than two weeks away, candidate endorsements, local turnout efforts, and any late shifts in voter attention ahead of election day represent the main factors that could determine which two candidates advance to the November general election.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 38th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$97
Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 38th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 38th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California’s 38th congressional district features a June 2, 2026, top-two primary for a newly drawn seat created under Proposition 50 redistricting that strengthens Democratic positioning in the Los Angeles area. Hilda Solis, a longtime county supervisor and former U.S. representative, entered the race early and secured the state Democratic Party endorsement, positioning her as a frontrunner among several Democratic contenders including Erik Lutz and Monica Sanchez. A Republican candidate, Pedro Casas, is also on the ballot in the heavily Democratic district. With the filing deadline passed and the primary less than two weeks away, candidate endorsements, local turnout efforts, and any late shifts in voter attention ahead of election day represent the main factors that could determine which two candidates advance to the November general election.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 38th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$97
Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 38th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«CA-38 Primary Winners» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Hilda Solis» с 75%, за ним следует «Pedro Antonio Casas» с 56%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 75¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 75%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«CA-38 Primary Winners» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен May 21, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «CA-38 Primary Winners», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «CA-38 Primary Winners» — «Hilda Solis» с 75%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 75%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Pedro Antonio Casas» с 56%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «CA-38 Primary Winners» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.