OpenAI's ChatGPT experienced a significant global outage on April 20, 2026, disrupting access for thousands of users worldwide and affecting related services like Codex, as confirmed by Downdetector spikes and OpenAI's status updates; this incident, lasting several hours, highlights ongoing infrastructure scaling challenges amid explosive demand for its large language model. Despite strong overall reliability—99.83% uptime for ChatGPT from January to April 2026—traders weigh historical patterns of peak-hour disruptions against OpenAI's massive compute investments and partnerships like those with Microsoft. Competitive pressures intensify scrutiny, with rivals like Anthropic reporting similar compute shortages. Key to watch: OpenAI's status.openai.com for elevated error rates and any Q2 earnings hints on capacity expansions, as usage surges could trigger further incidents before resolution deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоChatGPT Outage by...?
ChatGPT Outage by...?
$10,081 Объем
1 мая 2026 г.
May 1
Yes
May 8
Yes
$10,081 Объем
May 1
$8,179 Объем
Yes
May 8
$1,903 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT experienced a significant global outage on April 20, 2026, disrupting access for thousands of users worldwide and affecting related services like Codex, as confirmed by Downdetector spikes and OpenAI's status updates; this incident, lasting several hours, highlights ongoing infrastructure scaling challenges amid explosive demand for its large language model. Despite strong overall reliability—99.83% uptime for ChatGPT from January to April 2026—traders weigh historical patterns of peak-hour disruptions against OpenAI's massive compute investments and partnerships like those with Microsoft. Competitive pressures intensify scrutiny, with rivals like Anthropic reporting similar compute shortages. Key to watch: OpenAI's status.openai.com for elevated error rates and any Q2 earnings hints on capacity expansions, as usage surges could trigger further incidents before resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 21, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Объем
$10,081Дата окончания
8 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 21, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT experienced a significant global outage on April 20, 2026, disrupting access for thousands of users worldwide and affecting related services like Codex, as confirmed by Downdetector spikes and OpenAI's status updates; this incident, lasting several hours, highlights ongoing infrastructure scaling challenges amid explosive demand for its large language model. Despite strong overall reliability—99.83% uptime for ChatGPT from January to April 2026—traders weigh historical patterns of peak-hour disruptions against OpenAI's massive compute investments and partnerships like those with Microsoft. Competitive pressures intensify scrutiny, with rivals like Anthropic reporting similar compute shortages. Key to watch: OpenAI's status.openai.com for elevated error rates and any Q2 earnings hints on capacity expansions, as usage surges could trigger further incidents before resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$10,081Дата окончания
8 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 21, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
OpenAI's ChatGPT experienced a significant global outage on April 20, 2026, disrupting access for thousands of users worldwide and affecting related services like Codex, as confirmed by Downdetector spikes and OpenAI's status updates; this incident, lasting several hours, highlights ongoing infrastructure scaling challenges amid explosive demand for its large language model. Despite strong overall reliability—99.83% uptime for ChatGPT from January to April 2026—traders weigh historical patterns of peak-hour disruptions against OpenAI's massive compute investments and partnerships like those with Microsoft. Competitive pressures intensify scrutiny, with rivals like Anthropic reporting similar compute shortages. Key to watch: OpenAI's status.openai.com for elevated error rates and any Q2 earnings hints on capacity expansions, as usage surges could trigger further incidents before resolution deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы