OpenAI's ChatGPT has experienced multiple service disruptions in recent weeks, including a global outage on July 25, 2026, that lasted nearly an hour and affected core chat, API, and Codex functionality for users worldwide. Status page records show additional elevated error rates in early August tied to image generation and conversation features, though overall uptime remains above 99.6 percent. These incidents, combined with rapid scaling of large language model usage and ongoing feature rollouts such as enhanced voice and file handling, shape trader views on the likelihood of further downtime. Key upcoming catalysts include any new model deployments or infrastructure changes that could strain capacity through mid-August.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоОтключение ChatGPT на...?
8 августа
3%
9 августа
7%
10 августа
13%
11 августа
14%
12 августа
15%
13 августа
14%
14 августа
13%
$2,904 Объем
8 августа
3%
9 августа
7%
10 августа
13%
11 августа
14%
12 августа
15%
13 августа
14%
14 августа
13%
ChatGPT will be considered to have experienced a qualifying incident on the specified day if the OpenAI Status Page for ChatGPT (status.openai.com) displays that day’s status box as a shade of red indicating Partial/Full Outage once it is finalized. (green indicates "No incidents", yellow indicates "Degraded performance"). A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box is added on the Status Page.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market will remain open until the specified day’s status box is finalized and all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved. Revisions that change an incident’s impact classification to or from 'Partial/Full Outage' will be considered if the revision is published before the specified day’s status box is finalized or before all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved.
This market will resolve once the specified day’s status box is finalized, provided no incident that began during the specified date is ongoing. In case of an ongoing incident the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If the incident in question is not resolved or all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...ChatGPT will be considered to have experienced a qualifying incident on the specified day if the OpenAI Status Page for ChatGPT (status.openai.com) displays that day’s status box as a shade of red indicating Partial/Full Outage once it is finalized. (green indicates "No incidents", yellow indicates "Degraded performance"). A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box is added on the Status Page.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market will remain open until the specified day’s status box is finalized and all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved. Revisions that change an incident’s impact classification to or from 'Partial/Full Outage' will be considered if the revision is published before the specified day’s status box is finalized or before all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved.
This market will resolve once the specified day’s status box is finalized, provided no incident that began during the specified date is ongoing. In case of an ongoing incident the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If the incident in question is not resolved or all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's ChatGPT has experienced multiple service disruptions in recent weeks, including a global outage on July 25, 2026, that lasted nearly an hour and affected core chat, API, and Codex functionality for users worldwide. Status page records show additional elevated error rates in early August tied to image generation and conversation features, though overall uptime remains above 99.6 percent. These incidents, combined with rapid scaling of large language model usage and ongoing feature rollouts such as enhanced voice and file handling, shape trader views on the likelihood of further downtime. Key upcoming catalysts include any new model deployments or infrastructure changes that could strain capacity through mid-August.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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