Patrick Mahomes' ongoing recovery from a torn ACL suffered in December 2025 has created significant uncertainty for his Week 1 availability in the 2026 NFL season, positioning him at 45.5% implied probability as traders weigh rehab timelines against his history of rapid returns. The Chiefs' March 16 trade acquiring Justin Fields from the Jets for a 2027 sixth-round pick, with Kansas City absorbing $3 million of his guaranteed salary, elevates Fields to 26% as a mobile, proven backup endorsed by Andy Reid as capable of starting and winning games if needed. Depth chart options like practice squad standout Chris Oladokun (3.5%) trail veteran free agents Gardner Minshew (7.8%) and Joe Flacco (7.4%), reflecting trader consensus on injury risk and contingency planning amid the February contract restructure that freed $43 million in cap space.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоChiefs Week 1, начиная с QB в 2026 году?
Chiefs Week 1, начиная с QB в 2026 году?
Патрик Махомс 46%
Гарднер Миншу 7.8%
Джо Флакко 5.0%
Крис Оладокуны 3.6%
$12,169 Объем
$12,169 Объем
Патрик Махомс
46%
Гарднер Миншу
8%
Джо Флакко
7%
Крис Оладокуны
4%
Джастин Филдс
26%
Патрик Махомс 46%
Гарднер Миншу 7.8%
Джо Флакко 5.0%
Крис Оладокуны 3.6%
$12,169 Объем
$12,169 Объем
Патрик Махомс
46%
Гарднер Миншу
8%
Джо Флакко
7%
Крис Оладокуны
4%
Джастин Филдс
26%
If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback.
This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 2:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback.
This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Patrick Mahomes' ongoing recovery from a torn ACL suffered in December 2025 has created significant uncertainty for his Week 1 availability in the 2026 NFL season, positioning him at 45.5% implied probability as traders weigh rehab timelines against his history of rapid returns. The Chiefs' March 16 trade acquiring Justin Fields from the Jets for a 2027 sixth-round pick, with Kansas City absorbing $3 million of his guaranteed salary, elevates Fields to 26% as a mobile, proven backup endorsed by Andy Reid as capable of starting and winning games if needed. Depth chart options like practice squad standout Chris Oladokun (3.5%) trail veteran free agents Gardner Minshew (7.8%) and Joe Flacco (7.4%), reflecting trader consensus on injury risk and contingency planning amid the February contract restructure that freed $43 million in cap space.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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