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This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between PARIVISION and GamerLegion in the PREMIER SERIES Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 8 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against GamerLegion.

This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win the match against PARIVISION.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. 

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

PARIVISION holds an edge in trader consensus for their BO3 upper bracket quarterfinal matchup against GamerLegion in the PREMIER SERIES playoffs, driven by a recent 1-0 group stage win over GL at ESL One Birmingham on March 25 and overall superior head-to-head record (2-1 since December). PARIVISION's seasoned roster—featuring carry Satanic, mid No[o]ne-, and offlaner SSS—boasts a 57% win rate over the last 90 days with consistent tournament results, while GamerLegion, a Dota 2 newcomer since November 2025, integrates new carry Ghost (joined March 31) into a mixed-region lineup amid patch 7.41a's tanky offlaner meta. Both teams advanced strongly from group stage, but PARIVISION's experience favors them in this high-stakes elimination bout.

Match Winner

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between PARIVISION and GamerLegion in the PREMIER SERIES Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 8 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Game 1 against GamerLegion.

This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win Game 1 against PARIVISION.

If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 

If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Game 1 Winner

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between PARIVISION and GamerLegion in the PREMIER SERIES Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 8 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Game 2 against GamerLegion.

This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win Game 2 against PARIVISION.

If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 

If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Game 2 Winner

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between PARIVISION and GamerLegion in the PREMIER SERIES Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 8 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Over" if PARIVISION and GamerLegion play 3 or more games in this series.

If fewer than 3 games are played, this market will resolve to "Under".

Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed.

If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. 

If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

O/U 2.5 Games

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between PARIVISION and GamerLegion in the PREMIER SERIES Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 8 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION wins 2 or more games than GamerLegion in this match.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "GamerLegion". 

Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.

If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. 

If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)

This market is about whether Game 1 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game-ending action (Ancient destruction or midgame forfeit) occurs during a daytime phase of the base in-game clock. This market will resolve to "No" if the game ends during a nighttime phase. Temporary nighttime effects caused by hero abilities (e.g., Night Stalker's Dark Ascension) do not affect resolution, only the base day/night cycle timer is considered.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Ends in Daytime

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy barracks during Game 1. In Dota 2, each team has six barracks (a melee and ranged barracks in each of the three lanes), located behind the Tier 3 towers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both PARIVISION and GamerLegion each destroy at least one enemy barracks (melee or ranged) during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) do not destroy any enemy barracks.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams destroyed at least one barracks prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Both Teams Destroy Barracks

This market is about whether any player achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 1. In Dota 2, an Ultra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves an Ultra Kill. A Rampage (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as an Ultra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether an Ultra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Ultra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Any Player Ultra Kill

This market is about whether any player achieves a Rampage during Game 1. In Dota 2, a Rampage occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Rampage during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Rampage.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether a Rampage occurred prior to stoppage. If no Rampage occurred, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Any Player Rampage

This market is about whether Game 2 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game-ending action (Ancient destruction or midgame forfeit) occurs during a daytime phase of the base in-game clock. This market will resolve to "No" if the game ends during a nighttime phase. Temporary nighttime effects caused by hero abilities (e.g., Night Stalker's Dark Ascension) do not affect resolution, only the base day/night cycle timer is considered.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 2. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both PARIVISION and GamerLegion each kill Roshan at least once during Game 2. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not kill Roshan during Game 2.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had killed Roshan prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Both Teams Beat Roshan

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy barracks during Game 2. In Dota 2, each team has six barracks (a melee and ranged barracks in each of the three lanes), located behind the Tier 3 towers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both PARIVISION and GamerLegion each destroy at least one enemy barracks (melee or ranged) during Game 2. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) do not destroy any enemy barracks.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams destroyed at least one barracks prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether any player achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 2. In Dota 2, an Ultra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 2. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves an Ultra Kill. A Rampage (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as an Ultra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether an Ultra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Ultra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether any player achieves a Rampage during Game 2. In Dota 2, a Rampage occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Rampage during Game 2. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Rampage.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether a Rampage occurred prior to stoppage. If no Rampage occurred, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 3. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both PARIVISION and GamerLegion each kill Roshan at least once during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not kill Roshan during Game 3.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had killed Roshan prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy barracks during Game 3. In Dota 2, each team has six barracks (a melee and ranged barracks in each of the three lanes), located behind the Tier 3 towers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both PARIVISION and GamerLegion each destroy at least one enemy barracks (melee or ranged) during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) do not destroy any enemy barracks.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams destroyed at least one barracks prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether any player achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 3. In Dota 2, an Ultra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves an Ultra Kill. A Rampage (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as an Ultra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether an Ultra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Ultra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether any player achieves a Rampage during Game 3. In Dota 2, a Rampage occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Rampage during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Rampage.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether a Rampage occurred prior to stoppage. If no Rampage occurred, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 1. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both PARIVISION and GamerLegion each kill Roshan at least once during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not kill Roshan during Game 1.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had killed Roshan prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether Game 3 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game-ending action (Ancient destruction or midgame forfeit) occurs during a daytime phase of the base in-game clock. This market will resolve to "No" if the game ends during a nighttime phase. Temporary nighttime effects caused by hero abilities (e.g., Night Stalker's Dark Ascension) do not affect resolution, only the base day/night cycle timer is considered.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Dota 2

PARIVISION

GamerLegion

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs GamerLegion (BO3) - плей-офф ПРЕМЬЕР СЕРИИ

Чем ниже, тем лучше. Показатели Бриера показывают, насколько близки прогнозы к реальности — не только то, были ли прогнозы правильными, но и насколько близок был прогноз к правильному исходу.

Показатель Бриера в сравнении с объемом

Прогнозы Polymarket близко соответствуют фактическим исходам во всех диапазонах вероятности.

Сравнение ожидаемого и фактического

Часто задаваемые вопросы

Все количественные характеристики рассчитываются на основе рынков Polymarket с уже определенным исходом. Для этого используются снимки цен, сделанные за 1 месяц, за 1 неделю, за 1 день, за 12 часов и за 4 часа до определения исхода. Точность отображает то, как часто окончательный лидирующий исход соответствовал реальности, а показатели Бриера измеряют среднюю квадратичную ошибку прогнозов.

Методы

Насколько точен Polymarket?

Показывает, насколько точны были коэффициенты Polymarket в разные моменты до определения исхода.

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Показывает процент всех рынков Polymarket, которые были закрыты с исходом «Да» или «Нет».

Структура исходов

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Обзор премии Грэмми, её истории и связи с прогнозами Polymarket.

О Грэмми

Альбом года — это жемчужина Грэмми, почитающая целое произведение, а не просто одну песню. Вручается с 1959 года, присуждается артисту, продюсерам, авторам песен, звукоинженерам и миксерам, которые внесли значительный вклад. Речь идет не о продажах или чартах; это чистое художественное совершенство во всех жанрах. Подумайте о "Midnights" Тейлор Свифт, "The Miseducation of Lauryn Hill" Лорин Хилл или классике Стиви Уандера; победители часто определяют эпохи. Альбомы должны содержать не менее пяти треков и 15 минут или всего 30 минут, чтобы претендовать. Это награда за командные усилия, прославляющая магию сплоченного проекта, который продвигает музыку вперед. На Polymarket коэффициенты на Альбом года колеблются по мере роста ажиотажа вокруг номинаций на Грэмми, таких как "Debí Tirar Más Fotos" Bad Bunny и "GNX" Кендрика Ламара.

Альбом года

Лучший новый артист сияет на восходящих звездах, которые прорвались в год права на участие. С 1959 года это для исполнителей, которые выпустили свою первую крупную работу и оказали культурное влияние, а не просто один хит. Победители, такие как Оливия Родриго, Чаппелл Роан или Сэм Смит, часто запускают масштабные карьеры. Право на участие: только первые номинации для этой категории, и прорыв, который переформирует сцену. Группы также имеют право, как когда-то делали The Beatles. Речь идет о свежем таланте, который встряхивает музыку. Коэффициенты Polymarket на номинантов Грэмми в категории Лучший новый артист отражают ажиотаж и импульс вокруг новых голосов, таких как Оливия Дин и Леон Томас.

Лучший новый артист

Прогнозы и коэффициенты в реальном времени для каждой категории Грэмми от крупнейшего в мире рынка прогнозов™

Прогнозы премии Грэмми 2026

Коэффициенты Грэмми 2026

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Прогнозы и коэффициенты Грэмми (2026) | Polymarket

Запись года выделяет один выдающийся трек, вознаграждая магию исполнения и продюсирования за ним. В отличие от Альбома года, это для одной песни, присуждается артисту, продюсерам, звукоинженерам и миксерам, которые идеально выполнили запись. Существует с первых Грэмми в 1959 году, фокусируясь на техническом совершенстве и общей атмосфере, а не только на текстах. Классики, такие как "What Was I Made For?" Билли Айлиш, "I Will Always Love You" Уитни Хьюстон или "Beat It" Майкла Джексона, выиграли, сочетая искусство с магией студии. Продажи не требуются, только совершенство. Отличается от Песни года тем, что почитает полный звук, а не только композицию. Polymarket позволяет делать ставки на номинации и прогнозы Грэмми для Записи года, такие как "DTMF" Bad Bunny, "Luther" Кендрика Ламара и SZA, и "Manchild" Сабрины Карпентер. Вирусный хит или эмоциональная баллада обойдут конкурентов?

Запись года

Песня года — это все о мастерстве написания: мелодия, тексты и тот хук, который нельзя забыть. Присуждается с 1959 года, идет напрямую автору(ам) песен, а не исполнителю или продюсерам. Это для одного трека, который захватывает дух года, независимо от жанра. Подумайте о "Hello" Адель, "Single Ladies (Put a Ring on It)" Бейонсе, "Royals" Лорд или "Thinking Out Loud" Эда Ширана. Эти песни часто становятся вечными гимнами. Песни должны быть новыми или недавно заметными, с текстами и музыкой. Отличается от Записи года, которая прославляет саму запись. На Polymarket отслеживайте меняющиеся коэффициенты на номинации Грэмми для Песни года, такие как "Golden" Ejae & Mark Sonnenblick и авторы песен Huntrix: Ejae, Audrey Nuna & Rei Ami и "Abracadabra" Леди Гаги, Генри Уолтера и Эндрю Уотта. Это дань уважения невоспетым героям за хитами.

Песня года

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Обзор премии Оскар, её истории и связи с прогнозами Polymarket.

О премии Оскар

Гонка за Лучшего актёра 2026 представляет пять ролей, охватывающих разные поколения и жанры. Timothée Chalamet выдаёт физически самоотверженную, полностью прожитую роль эксцентричного вундеркинда пинг-понга в Marty Supreme от Josh Safdie. Leonardo DiCaprio привносит уязвимость в образ мятущегося художника в One Battle After Another от Paul Thomas Anderson, а Michael B. Jordan демонстрирует мощную физику и эмоциональную стойкость в Sinners от Ryan Coogler. Wagner Moura добавляет скрытое напряжение в своей роли в The Secret Agent, а Ethan Hawke привносит тихую интенсивность в роли музыканта в Blue Moon. Это категория, где молодость сталкивается с опытом, и каждый номинант предлагает своё видение того, как может выглядеть преображающая главная роль, с церемонией 15 марта завтра.

Лучший актер

Категория Лучшая актриса 2026 демонстрирует диапазон и эмоциональную бесстрашность через пять ярких ролей. Jessie Buckley выдаёт пронзительно мощное изображение материнского горя в Hamnet от Chloé Zhao, а Rose Byrne привносит острый комедийный тайминг в мрачно-смешной If I Had Legs I'd Kick You. Emma Stone предлагает очередную эксцентричную, магнетическую роль в Bugonia от Yorgos Lanthimos, а Renate Reinsve исследует самоперерождение с тонкостью в Sentimental Value от Joachim Trier. Kate Hudson передаёт необработанную страсть в Song Sung Blue. Этот список вознаграждает актрис, которые растворяются в своих ролях, и каждая номинантка привносит по-настоящему личный подход к сложным, многослойным персонажам с церемонией 15 марта завтра.

Лучшая актриса

Категория Лучший режиссёр на Оскаре 2026 представляет разнообразный список кинематографистов, работающих в разных стилях и традициях. Paul Thomas Anderson номинирован за One Battle After Another, привнося свою фирменную многослойную работу с персонажами. Sinners от Ryan Coogler сочетает мощную экшн-режиссуру с социальным комментарием, а Josh Safdie привносит бешеную энергию в Marty Supreme, развивая контролируемый хаос, который задал тон Uncut Gems. Sentimental Value от Joachim Trier предлагает интроспективное, по-настоящему скандинавское повествование. Chloé Zhao завершает категорию фильмом Hamnet, добавляя свой натуралистичный, чуткий взгляд. Эта категория вознаграждает смелое видение — и каждый номинант здесь привносит свой уникальный кинематографический голос с церемонией 15 марта завтра.

Лучший режиссер

Категория Лучший оригинальный сценарий на Оскаре 2026 отмечает сценарии, прокладывающие свежую повествовательную территорию без исходного материала. Sinners от Ryan Coogler сплетает темы справедливости и идентичности в плотно выстроенное повествование, а Marty Supreme от Ronald Bronstein и Josh Safdie искрится причудливым остроумием и неугомонной энергией. Sentimental Value от Eskil Vogt и Joachim Trier предлагает философское исследование близости, а It Was Just an Accident от Jafar Panahi исследует судьбу и политику с характерной моральной точностью. Blue Moon от Robert Kaplow привносит лирическую чувствительность в портрет мира музыканта. Эта категория выделяет самые изобретательные голоса кино — и в этом году поле особенно сильное с церемонией 15 марта завтра.

Лучший оригинальный сценарий

Гонка за Лучший фильм на Оскаре 2026 включает жанрово разнообразный список из 10 номинантов — Sinners от Ryan Coogler набрал рекордные 16 номинаций. One Battle After Another от Paul Thomas Anderson и Sinners от Ryan Coogler с Michael B. Jordan привносят разные видения повествования через характеры персонажей. Hamnet от Chloé Zhao, где Steven Spielberg в числе продюсеров, предлагает поэтичное размышление о горе и творчестве, а Marty Supreme от Josh Safdie передаёт острую инди-энергию через образ Timothée Chalamet в роли эксцентричного вундеркинда пинг-понга. Sentimental Value от Joachim Trier, Frankenstein от Guillermo del Toro, Bugonia от Yorgos Lanthimos с Emma Stone, F1 от Joseph Kosinski с Brad Pitt, The Secret Agent от Kleber Mendonça Filho и Train Dreams — каждый привносит авторские амбиции или яркое зрелище. Это поле, где зрелищность и содержание идут рука об руку, отражая стремление Академии и к смелому авторскому кино, и к историям для широкой аудитории с церемонией 15 марта завтра.

Лучший фильм

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Коэффициенты Оскар 2026

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Прогнозы и коэффициенты Оскара (2026) | Polymarket

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