Jordan Smith and Padraig Harrington sit atop the first-round leader market at equal implied probabilities, reflecting their recent form, links-course familiarity, and strong positioning ahead of the Amgen Irish Open at the new Doonbeg venue. Harrington, a past Irish Open champion with deep local knowledge and consistent recent results on the DP World Tour and PGA Tour Champions, benefits from home support and course setup that rewards precision and short-game control. Smith arrives in solid ball-striking form from PGA Tour events. The long list of players clustered near 16% underscores the inherent variability of opening rounds on links layouts, where weather, pin placements, and early momentum can elevate multiple contenders without a clear standout. This pricing captures trader consensus on a tightly contested opener rather than any single dominant profile.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоJordan Smith 98%
Padraig Harrington 98%
Jon Rahm 35%
Joaquin Niemann 34%
Jordan Smith
98%
Padraig Harrington
98%
Jon Rahm
35%
Joaquin Niemann
34%
Alex Fitzpatrick
33%
Matt Wallace
33%
Matthew Jordan
33%
Nicolai Hoejgaard
33%
Oliver Lindell
33%
Patrick Reed
33%
Brooks Koepka
33%
Casey Jarvis
33%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
33%
Harry Hall
33%
Jacob Skov Olesen
33%
Angel Ayora
33%
David Puig
33%
Adrian Meronk
32%
Adrian Otaegui
32%
Alejandro Del Rey
32%
Liam Nolan
32%
Luke Donald
32%
Manuel Elvira
32%
Marcus Helligkilde
32%
Max Kennedy
32%
Mikael Lindberg
32%
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
32%
Pablo Larrazabal
32%
Angel Hidalgo
32%
Antoine Rozner
32%
Ashun Wu
32%
Ben Schmidt
32%
Bernd Wiesberger
32%
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
32%
Brandon Stone
32%
Daniel Bradbury
32%
Daniel Gavins
32%
Daniel Hillier
32%
David Micheluzzi
32%
David Ravetto
32%
Dylan Frittelli
32%
Dylan Naidoo
32%
Frederic Lacroix
32%
Gregorio De Leo
32%
Hennie Du Plessis
32%
Ignacio Elvira
32%
Jason Scrivener
32%
Jayden Schaper
32%
Jeff Winther
32%
Jeong-Weon Ko
32%
Joakim Lagergren
32%
Joseph Dean
32%
Eddie Pepperell
32%
Erik van Rooyen
32%
Ewen Ferguson
32%
Francesco Laporta
32%
Frankie Capan
32%
Freddy Schott
32%
Grant Forrest
32%
Guido Migliozzi
32%
Haotong Li
32%
Ivan Cantero
32%
J. C. Ritchie
32%
Jack Senior
32%
Jacques Kruyswijk
32%
Jens Dantorp
32%
Joel Girrbach
32%
Johannes Veerman
32%
John Catlin
32%
Joost Luiten
32%
Jordan Gumberg
32%
Jorge Campillo
32%
Andy Sullivan
32%
Calum Hill
32%
Connor Syme
32%
Cormac Sharvin
32%
Daniel Rodrigues
32%
Danny Willett
32%
Darius van Driel
32%
Davis Bryant
32%
Francesco Molinari
32%
Mark Power
32%
Martin Couvra
32%
Matteo Manassero
32%
Maximilian Steinlechner
32%
Michael Hollick
32%
Nathan Kimsey
32%
Jung-Hwan Lee
32%
Kazuma Kobori
32%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
32%
Kota Kaneko
32%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
32%
Laurie Canter
32%
Marcus Armitage
32%
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
32%
Niklas Lemke
32%
Niklas Noergaard
32%
Paul Waring
32%
Julien Guerrier
31%
Marcel Schneider
30%
Jordan Smith 98%
Padraig Harrington 98%
Jon Rahm 35%
Joaquin Niemann 34%
Jordan Smith
98%
Padraig Harrington
98%
Jon Rahm
35%
Joaquin Niemann
34%
Alex Fitzpatrick
33%
Matt Wallace
33%
Matthew Jordan
33%
Nicolai Hoejgaard
33%
Oliver Lindell
33%
Patrick Reed
33%
Brooks Koepka
33%
Casey Jarvis
33%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
33%
Harry Hall
33%
Jacob Skov Olesen
33%
Angel Ayora
33%
David Puig
33%
Adrian Meronk
32%
Adrian Otaegui
32%
Alejandro Del Rey
32%
Liam Nolan
32%
Luke Donald
32%
Manuel Elvira
32%
Marcus Helligkilde
32%
Max Kennedy
32%
Mikael Lindberg
32%
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
32%
Pablo Larrazabal
32%
Angel Hidalgo
32%
Antoine Rozner
32%
Ashun Wu
32%
Ben Schmidt
32%
Bernd Wiesberger
32%
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
32%
Brandon Stone
32%
Daniel Bradbury
32%
Daniel Gavins
32%
Daniel Hillier
32%
David Micheluzzi
32%
David Ravetto
32%
Dylan Frittelli
32%
Dylan Naidoo
32%
Frederic Lacroix
32%
Gregorio De Leo
32%
Hennie Du Plessis
32%
Ignacio Elvira
32%
Jason Scrivener
32%
Jayden Schaper
32%
Jeff Winther
32%
Jeong-Weon Ko
32%
Joakim Lagergren
32%
Joseph Dean
32%
Eddie Pepperell
32%
Erik van Rooyen
32%
Ewen Ferguson
32%
Francesco Laporta
32%
Frankie Capan
32%
Freddy Schott
32%
Grant Forrest
32%
Guido Migliozzi
32%
Haotong Li
32%
Ivan Cantero
32%
J. C. Ritchie
32%
Jack Senior
32%
Jacques Kruyswijk
32%
Jens Dantorp
32%
Joel Girrbach
32%
Johannes Veerman
32%
John Catlin
32%
Joost Luiten
32%
Jordan Gumberg
32%
Jorge Campillo
32%
Andy Sullivan
32%
Calum Hill
32%
Connor Syme
32%
Cormac Sharvin
32%
Daniel Rodrigues
32%
Danny Willett
32%
Darius van Driel
32%
Davis Bryant
32%
Francesco Molinari
32%
Mark Power
32%
Martin Couvra
32%
Matteo Manassero
32%
Maximilian Steinlechner
32%
Michael Hollick
32%
Nathan Kimsey
32%
Jung-Hwan Lee
32%
Kazuma Kobori
32%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
32%
Kota Kaneko
32%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
32%
Laurie Canter
32%
Marcus Armitage
32%
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
32%
Niklas Lemke
32%
Niklas Noergaard
32%
Paul Waring
32%
Julien Guerrier
31%
Marcel Schneider
30%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 11:12 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.europeantour.com/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.europeantour.com/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Jordan Smith and Padraig Harrington sit atop the first-round leader market at equal implied probabilities, reflecting their recent form, links-course familiarity, and strong positioning ahead of the Amgen Irish Open at the new Doonbeg venue. Harrington, a past Irish Open champion with deep local knowledge and consistent recent results on the DP World Tour and PGA Tour Champions, benefits from home support and course setup that rewards precision and short-game control. Smith arrives in solid ball-striking form from PGA Tour events. The long list of players clustered near 16% underscores the inherent variability of opening rounds on links layouts, where weather, pin placements, and early momentum can elevate multiple contenders without a clear standout. This pricing captures trader consensus on a tightly contested opener rather than any single dominant profile.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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