The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s dominant 87% implied probability stems from its May 2026 cancellation by CBS, which generated significant industry sympathy and positioned its final season as a farewell campaign. Multiple wins at the Creative Arts Emmys for writing, directing, and technical categories further boosted its momentum in the newly unified Outstanding Variety Series category, now structured as an area award where nominees are judged independently. Traders view this as outweighing the historical Emmy success of competitors like Last Week Tonight With John Oliver and The Daily Show, with the September 14 ceremony serving as the decisive resolution point.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЭмми 2026: Выдающаяся серия сортов
Эмми 2026: Выдающаяся серия сортов
«The Late Show With Stephen Colbert» 100.0%
«The Daily Show» <1%
«Jimmy Kimmel Live!» <1%
«Прошлой ночью с Джоном Оливером» <1%
$409,895 Объем
$409,895 Объем
14 сент. 2026 г.
«The Daily Show»
Нет
«Jimmy Kimmel Live!»
Нет
«Прошлой ночью с Джоном Оливером»
Нет
«The Late Show With Stephen Colbert»
Да
«Saturday Night Live»
Нет
«The Late Show With Stephen Colbert» 100.0%
«The Daily Show» <1%
«Jimmy Kimmel Live!» <1%
«Прошлой ночью с Джоном Оливером» <1%
$409,895 Объем
$409,895 Объем
14 сент. 2026 г.
«The Daily Show»
$42,012 Объем
Нет
«Jimmy Kimmel Live!»
$155,029 Объем
Нет
«Прошлой ночью с Джоном Оливером»
$56,947 Объем
Нет
«The Late Show With Stephen Colbert»
$97,585 Объем
Да
«Saturday Night Live»
$58,323 Объем
Нет
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s dominant 87% implied probability stems from its May 2026 cancellation by CBS, which generated significant industry sympathy and positioned its final season as a farewell campaign. Multiple wins at the Creative Arts Emmys for writing, directing, and technical categories further boosted its momentum in the newly unified Outstanding Variety Series category, now structured as an area award where nominees are judged independently. Traders view this as outweighing the historical Emmy success of competitors like Last Week Tonight With John Oliver and The Daily Show, with the September 14 ceremony serving as the decisive resolution point.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
Объем
$409,895Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s dominant 87% implied probability stems from its May 2026 cancellation by CBS, which generated significant industry sympathy and positioned its final season as a farewell campaign. Multiple wins at the Creative Arts Emmys for writing, directing, and technical categories further boosted its momentum in the newly unified Outstanding Variety Series category, now structured as an area award where nominees are judged independently. Traders view this as outweighing the historical Emmy success of competitors like Last Week Tonight With John Oliver and The Daily Show, with the September 14 ceremony serving as the decisive resolution point.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$409,895Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s dominant 87% implied probability stems from its May 2026 cancellation by CBS, which generated significant industry sympathy and positioned its final season as a farewell campaign. Multiple wins at the Creative Arts Emmys for writing, directing, and technical categories further boosted its momentum in the newly unified Outstanding Variety Series category, now structured as an area award where nominees are judged independently. Traders view this as outweighing the historical Emmy success of competitors like Last Week Tonight With John Oliver and The Daily Show, with the September 14 ceremony serving as the decisive resolution point.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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