The 2026 Formula 1 Bahrain Grand Prix, scheduled for April 12 at Bahrain International Circuit, was officially cancelled on March 14 due to escalating geopolitical tensions from the Middle East conflict, including the Iran war, prompting Formula 1 to prioritize safety with no replacement race planned and creating a five-week calendar gap after the Japanese GP. Absent an FIA-published final classification, no driver can achieve a podium finish, rendering all related prediction markets to resolve "No" per official rules. Pre-cancellation trader consensus had favored drivers like Pierre Gasly based on strong pre-season Bahrain testing paces (P5 fastest lap) and Alpine's upgrades amid early-season Mercedes dominance by Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, but the abrupt status change overrides prior form, qualifying simulations, and tire strategy considerations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$106,161 Объем
Пьер Гасли
52%
Фернандо Алонсо
50%
Александр Албон
52%
Габриэл Бортолето
48%
Серхио Перес
49%
Шарль Леклер
51%
Эстебан Окон
51%
Ландо Норрис
50%
Андреа Кими Антонелли
49%
Макс Ферстаппен
50%
Франко Колапинто
47%
Карлос Сайнс-младший
51%
Нико Хюлькенберг
50%
Валттери Боттас
52%
Льюис Хэмилтон
50%
Оливер Бирмэн
52%
Оскар Пиастри
51%
Джордж Расселл
51%
Арвид Линдблад
52%
Исак Хаджар
52%
Лиам Лоусон
50%
$106,161 Объем
Пьер Гасли
52%
Фернандо Алонсо
50%
Александр Албон
52%
Габриэл Бортолето
48%
Серхио Перес
49%
Шарль Леклер
51%
Эстебан Окон
51%
Ландо Норрис
50%
Андреа Кими Антонелли
49%
Макс Ферстаппен
50%
Франко Колапинто
47%
Карлос Сайнс-младший
51%
Нико Хюлькенберг
50%
Валттери Боттас
52%
Льюис Хэмилтон
50%
Оливер Бирмэн
52%
Оскар Пиастри
51%
Джордж Расселл
51%
Арвид Линдблад
52%
Исак Хаджар
52%
Лиам Лоусон
50%
The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
If the Bahrain Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Bahrain Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
Открытие рынка: Mar 14, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x65070BE91...The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
If the Bahrain Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Bahrain Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Formula 1 Bahrain Grand Prix, scheduled for April 12 at Bahrain International Circuit, was officially cancelled on March 14 due to escalating geopolitical tensions from the Middle East conflict, including the Iran war, prompting Formula 1 to prioritize safety with no replacement race planned and creating a five-week calendar gap after the Japanese GP. Absent an FIA-published final classification, no driver can achieve a podium finish, rendering all related prediction markets to resolve "No" per official rules. Pre-cancellation trader consensus had favored drivers like Pierre Gasly based on strong pre-season Bahrain testing paces (P5 fastest lap) and Alpine's upgrades amid early-season Mercedes dominance by Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, but the abrupt status change overrides prior form, qualifying simulations, and tire strategy considerations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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