The 2026 Formula 1 season's new technical regulations—emphasizing lighter, more agile chassis with active aerodynamics and heavily electrified power units—have produced greater parity across the grid, leaving no constructor with a clear edge for pole position at Monza. Trader consensus remains tightly bunched because recent qualifying sessions have delivered unexpected frontrunners, such as McLaren's Lando Norris claiming pole in Hungary amid strong performances from Mercedes, Ferrari, and others adapting at different rates to the revised power-unit and aero rules. Monza's high-speed layout and slipstream opportunities further compress margins, while variable track conditions and setup choices add unpredictability. With 11 teams fielding 22 cars and ongoing development battles, the wisdom of crowds reflected in these probabilities underscores a genuinely open contest where small differences in one-lap pace can shift outcomes dramatically.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCadillac 48%
Alpine 47%
Racing Bulls 47%
Aston Martin 46%
Cadillac
48%
Alpine
47%
Racing Bulls
47%
Aston Martin
46%
Audi Revolut
45%
Williams
44%
Ferrari
44%
Mclaren Mastercard
44%
Mercedes
44%
Tgr Haas
43%
Red Bull
43%
Cadillac 48%
Alpine 47%
Racing Bulls 47%
Aston Martin 46%
Cadillac
48%
Alpine
47%
Racing Bulls
47%
Aston Martin
46%
Audi Revolut
45%
Williams
44%
Ferrari
44%
Mclaren Mastercard
44%
Mercedes
44%
Tgr Haas
43%
Red Bull
43%
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Открытие рынка: Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Formula 1 season's new technical regulations—emphasizing lighter, more agile chassis with active aerodynamics and heavily electrified power units—have produced greater parity across the grid, leaving no constructor with a clear edge for pole position at Monza. Trader consensus remains tightly bunched because recent qualifying sessions have delivered unexpected frontrunners, such as McLaren's Lando Norris claiming pole in Hungary amid strong performances from Mercedes, Ferrari, and others adapting at different rates to the revised power-unit and aero rules. Monza's high-speed layout and slipstream opportunities further compress margins, while variable track conditions and setup choices add unpredictability. With 11 teams fielding 22 cars and ongoing development battles, the wisdom of crowds reflected in these probabilities underscores a genuinely open contest where small differences in one-lap pace can shift outcomes dramatically.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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