Portugal holds a slim 50.5% implied probability as traders weigh their superior squad depth against Mexico in this World Cup warm-up friendly at high-altitude Estadio Azteca, despite key absences like Cristiano Ronaldo's hamstring injury, Rafael Leão's adductor strain, and Diogo Costa's withdrawal. Mexico's extensive injury list—including Marcel Ruiz's ACL tear, Luis Malagón's Achilles rupture, Edson Álvarez, and Santiago Giménez—has eroded their midfield and attack, offsetting home advantage and recent friendly wins over Panama, Bolivia, and Iceland. Portugal's unbeaten head-to-head record (W3 D2) and robust qualifiers (e.g., 9-1 vs. Armenia) underpin the edge, while the 26.5% draw pricing reflects friendly caution, altitude challenges, and experimental lineups with debuts like Álvaro Fidalgo.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

If Mexico wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Открытие рынка: Mar 1, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Mexico wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Открытие рынка: Mar 1, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Portugal holds a slim 50.5% implied probability as traders weigh their superior squad depth against Mexico in this World Cup warm-up friendly at high-altitude Estadio Azteca, despite key absences like Cristiano Ronaldo's hamstring injury, Rafael Leão's adductor strain, and Diogo Costa's withdrawal. Mexico's extensive injury list—including Marcel Ruiz's ACL tear, Luis Malagón's Achilles rupture, Edson Álvarez, and Santiago Giménez—has eroded their midfield and attack, offsetting home advantage and recent friendly wins over Panama, Bolivia, and Iceland. Portugal's unbeaten head-to-head record (W3 D2) and robust qualifiers (e.g., 9-1 vs. Armenia) underpin the edge, while the 26.5% draw pricing reflects friendly caution, altitude challenges, and experimental lineups with debuts like Álvaro Fidalgo.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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