Recent April ISM Services PMI data at 53.6, just below consensus, featured a sharp 7.1-point decline in new orders to 53.5 alongside a second consecutive month of employment contraction at 48.0, even as business activity strengthened to 55.9 and the prices index held elevated at 70.7 amid Middle East-related energy costs and tariff impacts. These mixed components have produced closely matched trader-implied odds across the 49.0–55.0+ ranges for May, reflecting uncertainty over whether services demand will stabilize near the 22-month expansion average or soften further ahead of the June 3 release. Persistent inflation pressures and labor market softening remain key swing factors that could shift the index trajectory.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено55,0+ 94%
50,0–50,9 47%
52,0–52,9 47%
48,0–48,9 38%
<47.0
22%
47,0–47,9
37%
48,0–48,9
38%
49,0–49,9
47%
50,0–50,9
47%
51,0–51,9
22%
52,0–52,9
47%
53,0–53,9
42%
54,0–54,9
47%
55,0+
94%
55,0+ 94%
50,0–50,9 47%
52,0–52,9 47%
48,0–48,9 38%
<47.0
22%
47,0–47,9
37%
48,0–48,9
38%
49,0–49,9
47%
50,0–50,9
47%
51,0–51,9
22%
52,0–52,9
47%
53,0–53,9
42%
54,0–54,9
47%
55,0+
94%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: May 28, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April ISM Services PMI data at 53.6, just below consensus, featured a sharp 7.1-point decline in new orders to 53.5 alongside a second consecutive month of employment contraction at 48.0, even as business activity strengthened to 55.9 and the prices index held elevated at 70.7 amid Middle East-related energy costs and tariff impacts. These mixed components have produced closely matched trader-implied odds across the 49.0–55.0+ ranges for May, reflecting uncertainty over whether services demand will stabilize near the 22-month expansion average or soften further ahead of the June 3 release. Persistent inflation pressures and labor market softening remain key swing factors that could shift the index trajectory.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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