Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election shows Likud projected at or below its current 32 Knesset seats amid coalition fatigue. Netanyahu's partners, particularly ultra-Orthodox parties facing backlash over military service exemptions and Religious Zionism risking the electoral threshold, have eroded support. Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party has consolidated opposition votes, frequently tying or leading Likud in surveys from outlets such as Channel 12, Maariv, and Kan 11. These trends, alongside the opposition bloc's narrow path to a majority, underpin trader consensus that Likud will finish with fewer seats than it holds today.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 окт. 2026 г.
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 окт. 2026 г.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election shows Likud projected at or below its current 32 Knesset seats amid coalition fatigue. Netanyahu's partners, particularly ultra-Orthodox parties facing backlash over military service exemptions and Religious Zionism risking the electoral threshold, have eroded support. Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party has consolidated opposition votes, frequently tying or leading Likud in surveys from outlets such as Channel 12, Maariv, and Kan 11. These trends, alongside the opposition bloc's narrow path to a majority, underpin trader consensus that Likud will finish with fewer seats than it holds today.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Открытие рынка: Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Объем
$9,286Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election shows Likud projected at or below its current 32 Knesset seats amid coalition fatigue. Netanyahu's partners, particularly ultra-Orthodox parties facing backlash over military service exemptions and Religious Zionism risking the electoral threshold, have eroded support. Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party has consolidated opposition votes, frequently tying or leading Likud in surveys from outlets such as Channel 12, Maariv, and Kan 11. These trends, alongside the opposition bloc's narrow path to a majority, underpin trader consensus that Likud will finish with fewer seats than it holds today.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Объем
$9,286Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election shows Likud projected at or below its current 32 Knesset seats amid coalition fatigue. Netanyahu's partners, particularly ultra-Orthodox parties facing backlash over military service exemptions and Religious Zionism risking the electoral threshold, have eroded support. Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party has consolidated opposition votes, frequently tying or leading Likud in surveys from outlets such as Channel 12, Maariv, and Kan 11. These trends, alongside the opposition bloc's narrow path to a majority, underpin trader consensus that Likud will finish with fewer seats than it holds today.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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