**Jack Doherty’s arrest in November 2025 for amphetamine possession (a felony), small-amount marijuana possession, and resisting arrest without violence while filming content in Miami Beach continues to shape the market.** The dominant “No Prison Time” outcome at 88.1% reflects trader assessment that these are typical first-offense drug cases in Florida, where probation or diversion is common for non-violent possession charges, especially when defendants secure strong counsel and avoid prior records. The quick release on a modest bond and resumption of streaming shortly afterward reinforced the view that serious incarceration is improbable. Lower-probability outcomes (<2 Years at 12.4%) capture residual risk of short supervised time or a plea if the felony sticks, while 2–5 Years and 5+ Years remain deeply discounted given the misdemeanor-level elements and historical sentencing patterns for similar influencer cases. With the case unresolved as of mid-2026 and no new charges or trial updates surfacing, the market consensus stays anchored on the expectation of a non-custodial resolution before the October 2026 cutoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВремя заключения Джека Доэрти?
Время заключения Джека Доэрти?
Без тюремного заключения 87.7%
<2 лет 5.6%
2-5 лет 3.1%
5+ лет 2.8%
$20,755 Объем
$20,755 Объем
31 окт. 2026 г.
Без тюремного заключения
88%
<2 лет
13%
2-5 лет
3%
5+ лет
8%
Без тюремного заключения 87.7%
<2 лет 5.6%
2-5 лет 3.1%
5+ лет 2.8%
$20,755 Объем
$20,755 Объем
31 окт. 2026 г.
Без тюремного заключения
$12,565 Объем
88%
<2 лет
$3,091 Объем
13%
2-5 лет
$1,999 Объем
3%
5+ лет
$3,101 Объем
8%
YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jack Doherty’s arrest in November 2025 for amphetamine possession (a felony), small-amount marijuana possession, and resisting arrest without violence while filming content in Miami Beach continues to shape the market.** The dominant “No Prison Time” outcome at 88.1% reflects trader assessment that these are typical first-offense drug cases in Florida, where probation or diversion is common for non-violent possession charges, especially when defendants secure strong counsel and avoid prior records. The quick release on a modest bond and resumption of streaming shortly afterward reinforced the view that serious incarceration is improbable.
Lower-probability outcomes (<2 Years at 12.4%) capture residual risk of short supervised time or a plea if the felony sticks, while 2–5 Years and 5+ Years remain deeply discounted given the misdemeanor-level elements and historical sentencing patterns for similar influencer cases. With the case unresolved as of mid-2026 and no new charges or trial updates surfacing, the market consensus stays anchored on the expectation of a non-custodial resolution before the October 2026 cutoff.
YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
Объем
$20,755Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jack Doherty’s arrest in November 2025 for amphetamine possession (a felony), small-amount marijuana possession, and resisting arrest without violence while filming content in Miami Beach continues to shape the market.** The dominant “No Prison Time” outcome at 88.1% reflects trader assessment that these are typical first-offense drug cases in Florida, where probation or diversion is common for non-violent possession charges, especially when defendants secure strong counsel and avoid prior records. The quick release on a modest bond and resumption of streaming shortly afterward reinforced the view that serious incarceration is improbable.
Lower-probability outcomes (<2 Years at 12.4%) capture residual risk of short supervised time or a plea if the felony sticks, while 2–5 Years and 5+ Years remain deeply discounted given the misdemeanor-level elements and historical sentencing patterns for similar influencer cases. With the case unresolved as of mid-2026 and no new charges or trial updates surfacing, the market consensus stays anchored on the expectation of a non-custodial resolution before the October 2026 cutoff.
YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$20,755Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Jack Doherty’s arrest in November 2025 for amphetamine possession (a felony), small-amount marijuana possession, and resisting arrest without violence while filming content in Miami Beach continues to shape the market.** The dominant “No Prison Time” outcome at 88.1% reflects trader assessment that these are typical first-offense drug cases in Florida, where probation or diversion is common for non-violent possession charges, especially when defendants secure strong counsel and avoid prior records. The quick release on a modest bond and resumption of streaming shortly afterward reinforced the view that serious incarceration is improbable. Lower-probability outcomes (<2 Years at 12.4%) capture residual risk of short supervised time or a plea if the felony sticks, while 2–5 Years and 5+ Years remain deeply discounted given the misdemeanor-level elements and historical sentencing patterns for similar influencer cases. With the case unresolved as of mid-2026 and no new charges or trial updates surfacing, the market consensus stays anchored on the expectation of a non-custodial resolution before the October 2026 cutoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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