Jack Doherty’s recent September 2026 misdemeanor domestic battery arrest in Fort Lauderdale, stemming from an alleged altercation with his girlfriend where she was uninjured, has reinforced trader consensus around the 89.9% implied probability of no prison time. The charge carries a maximum of one year in county jail, but Florida’s domestic violence statutes often route first-time cases toward probation, batterers’ intervention programs, or diversion rather than incarceration. This follows his November 2025 Miami Beach drug and resisting-arrest charges, which entered a pre-trial diversion track before the new incident. With sentencing deadlines approaching October 2026 and no felony escalation confirmed, markets reflect skepticism that either case will produce meaningful jail time despite the added scrutiny.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВремя заключения Джека Доэрти?
Без тюремного заключения 90.5%
<2 лет 6.2%
5+ лет 2.1%
2-5 лет 1.9%
$23,072 Объем
$23,072 Объем
Без тюремного заключения
90%
<2 лет
6%
2-5 лет
2%
5+ лет
2%
Без тюремного заключения 90.5%
<2 лет 6.2%
5+ лет 2.1%
2-5 лет 1.9%
$23,072 Объем
$23,072 Объем
Без тюремного заключения
90%
<2 лет
6%
2-5 лет
2%
5+ лет
2%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Jack Doherty’s recent September 2026 misdemeanor domestic battery arrest in Fort Lauderdale, stemming from an alleged altercation with his girlfriend where she was uninjured, has reinforced trader consensus around the 89.9% implied probability of no prison time. The charge carries a maximum of one year in county jail, but Florida’s domestic violence statutes often route first-time cases toward probation, batterers’ intervention programs, or diversion rather than incarceration. This follows his November 2025 Miami Beach drug and resisting-arrest charges, which entered a pre-trial diversion track before the new incident. With sentencing deadlines approaching October 2026 and no felony escalation confirmed, markets reflect skepticism that either case will produce meaningful jail time despite the added scrutiny.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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