Recent polling shows a tight contest between Labour’s Andy Burnham and Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon, with both in the low 40s and other parties well behind. Kenyon’s strong second-place finish in the 2024 general election, combined with Reform’s local election gains in the constituency, gives him a clear structural edge for runner-up status even if Burnham edges ahead. Fragmentation on the right, including Restore Britain’s Rebecca Shepherd on single digits, further concentrates the non-Labour vote behind Kenyon. Minor parties and the Conservatives poll in low single digits, leaving little room for surprises before the June 18 vote. Trader consensus at 71 percent for Kenyon reflects these established patterns and limited movement in recent days.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMakerfield by-election: 2nd Place
Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place
Robert Kenyon 72%
Andy Burnham 24%
Rebecca Shepherd 9%
James Thomas Bryer <1%
$12,109 Объем
$12,109 Объем
18 июн. 2026 г.
Robert Kenyon
72%
Andy Burnham
24%
Rebecca Shepherd
9%
James Thomas Bryer
1%
John Skipworth
1%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
Robert Kenyon 72%
Andy Burnham 24%
Rebecca Shepherd 9%
James Thomas Bryer <1%
$12,109 Объем
$12,109 Объем
18 июн. 2026 г.
Robert Kenyon
$1,048 Объем
72%
Andy Burnham
$726 Объем
24%
Rebecca Shepherd
$8,133 Объем
9%
James Thomas Bryer
$462 Объем
1%
John Skipworth
$381 Объем
1%
Simon Finkelstein
$851 Объем
<1%
Maria Deery
$508 Объем
<1%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent polling shows a tight contest between Labour’s Andy Burnham and Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon, with both in the low 40s and other parties well behind. Kenyon’s strong second-place finish in the 2024 general election, combined with Reform’s local election gains in the constituency, gives him a clear structural edge for runner-up status even if Burnham edges ahead. Fragmentation on the right, including Restore Britain’s Rebecca Shepherd on single digits, further concentrates the non-Labour vote behind Kenyon. Minor parties and the Conservatives poll in low single digits, leaving little room for surprises before the June 18 vote. Trader consensus at 71 percent for Kenyon reflects these established patterns and limited movement in recent days.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Открытие рынка: May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Объем
$12,109Дата окончания
18 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent polling shows a tight contest between Labour’s Andy Burnham and Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon, with both in the low 40s and other parties well behind. Kenyon’s strong second-place finish in the 2024 general election, combined with Reform’s local election gains in the constituency, gives him a clear structural edge for runner-up status even if Burnham edges ahead. Fragmentation on the right, including Restore Britain’s Rebecca Shepherd on single digits, further concentrates the non-Labour vote behind Kenyon. Minor parties and the Conservatives poll in low single digits, leaving little room for surprises before the June 18 vote. Trader consensus at 71 percent for Kenyon reflects these established patterns and limited movement in recent days.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Объем
$12,109Дата окончания
18 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows a tight contest between Labour’s Andy Burnham and Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon, with both in the low 40s and other parties well behind. Kenyon’s strong second-place finish in the 2024 general election, combined with Reform’s local election gains in the constituency, gives him a clear structural edge for runner-up status even if Burnham edges ahead. Fragmentation on the right, including Restore Britain’s Rebecca Shepherd on single digits, further concentrates the non-Labour vote behind Kenyon. Minor parties and the Conservatives poll in low single digits, leaving little room for surprises before the June 18 vote. Trader consensus at 71 percent for Kenyon reflects these established patterns and limited movement in recent days.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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