Kyle Schwarber leads the 2026 MLB home run race with 24 through mid-June, tied with Yordan Alvarez but boasting a higher rate in fewer plate appearances while posting a .568 slugging percentage for the Phillies. Traders assign him the highest implied probability at 52 percent, reflecting his consistent power output, including multiple long homers early in the season. Alvarez sits at 25 percent amid a .651 slugging mark and elite OPS for Houston, though his slightly lower volume tempers the edge. Emerging bats such as Nick Kurtz and James Wood hover near 10 percent each on strong rookie trajectories and recent extra-base production, while veterans like Matt Olson trail further behind despite solid totals. Roster health, park factors, and remaining schedule strength continue to shape these consensus probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоKyle Schwarber 52%
Yordan Alvarez 25.0%
James Wood 2.1%
Munetaka Murakami 2.1%
$36,215 Объем
$36,215 Объем
Kyle Schwarber
52%
Yordan Alvarez
25%
James Wood
9%
Munetaka Murakami
2%
Aaron Judge
2%
Matt Olson
2%
Shea Langeliers
2%
Juan Soto
1%
Ben Rice
1%
Nick Kurtz
10%
Shohei Ohtani
1%
Elly De La Cruz
1%
Brandon Lowe
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Rafael Devers
<1%
Junior Caminero
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
Kyle Schwarber 52%
Yordan Alvarez 25.0%
James Wood 2.1%
Munetaka Murakami 2.1%
$36,215 Объем
$36,215 Объем
Kyle Schwarber
52%
Yordan Alvarez
25%
James Wood
9%
Munetaka Murakami
2%
Aaron Judge
2%
Matt Olson
2%
Shea Langeliers
2%
Juan Soto
1%
Ben Rice
1%
Nick Kurtz
10%
Shohei Ohtani
1%
Elly De La Cruz
1%
Brandon Lowe
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Rafael Devers
<1%
Junior Caminero
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kyle Schwarber leads the 2026 MLB home run race with 24 through mid-June, tied with Yordan Alvarez but boasting a higher rate in fewer plate appearances while posting a .568 slugging percentage for the Phillies. Traders assign him the highest implied probability at 52 percent, reflecting his consistent power output, including multiple long homers early in the season. Alvarez sits at 25 percent amid a .651 slugging mark and elite OPS for Houston, though his slightly lower volume tempers the edge. Emerging bats such as Nick Kurtz and James Wood hover near 10 percent each on strong rookie trajectories and recent extra-base production, while veterans like Matt Olson trail further behind despite solid totals. Roster health, park factors, and remaining schedule strength continue to shape these consensus probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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