The extreme rarity of perfect games in MLB—only 24 across more than 150 years and hundreds of thousands of contests—underpins the 87% implied probability that none will occur in 2026. The last such feat came in 2023, followed by a full 2025 season without any perfect games or even no-hitters, and none through the early months of 2026. Modern factors including pitch-count limits, specialized bullpens, matchup-driven lineups, and the inherent variance required to retire all 27 batters without walks, hits, or errors sustain long droughts between occurrences. While roughly 2,400 regular-season games remain this year, historical patterns of multiple zero-perfect-game seasons and the absence of recent momentum keep trader consensus firmly against a 2026 occurrence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?
MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?
$10,023 Объем
$10,023 Объем
$10,023 Объем
$10,023 Объем
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The extreme rarity of perfect games in MLB—only 24 across more than 150 years and hundreds of thousands of contests—underpins the 87% implied probability that none will occur in 2026. The last such feat came in 2023, followed by a full 2025 season without any perfect games or even no-hitters, and none through the early months of 2026. Modern factors including pitch-count limits, specialized bullpens, matchup-driven lineups, and the inherent variance required to retire all 27 batters without walks, hits, or errors sustain long droughts between occurrences. While roughly 2,400 regular-season games remain this year, historical patterns of multiple zero-perfect-game seasons and the absence of recent momentum keep trader consensus firmly against a 2026 occurrence.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Объем
$10,023Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The extreme rarity of perfect games in MLB—only 24 across more than 150 years and hundreds of thousands of contests—underpins the 87% implied probability that none will occur in 2026. The last such feat came in 2023, followed by a full 2025 season without any perfect games or even no-hitters, and none through the early months of 2026. Modern factors including pitch-count limits, specialized bullpens, matchup-driven lineups, and the inherent variance required to retire all 27 batters without walks, hits, or errors sustain long droughts between occurrences. While roughly 2,400 regular-season games remain this year, historical patterns of multiple zero-perfect-game seasons and the absence of recent momentum keep trader consensus firmly against a 2026 occurrence.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$10,023Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The extreme rarity of perfect games in MLB—only 24 across more than 150 years and hundreds of thousands of contests—underpins the 87% implied probability that none will occur in 2026. The last such feat came in 2023, followed by a full 2025 season without any perfect games or even no-hitters, and none through the early months of 2026. Modern factors including pitch-count limits, specialized bullpens, matchup-driven lineups, and the inherent variance required to retire all 27 batters without walks, hits, or errors sustain long droughts between occurrences. While roughly 2,400 regular-season games remain this year, historical patterns of multiple zero-perfect-game seasons and the absence of recent momentum keep trader consensus firmly against a 2026 occurrence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы