Nasim Nuñez holds a commanding lead in the 2026 stolen bases race with 46 thefts through mid-September, well ahead of Chandler Simpson’s 41, Bobby Witt Jr.’s 40, and Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s 40, according to official MLB statistics. Traders have priced Nuñez at 76% implied probability because his pace and volume create a sizable cushion with roughly two weeks remaining in the regular season. Simpson remains the clearest alternative at 15.4% but has not closed the gap meaningfully in recent weeks. Other contenders such as Witt, Chisholm, Pete Crow-Armstrong, and José Caballero trail further behind and would require an improbable surge of successful steals plus favorable outcomes on caught-stealing rates to overtake the leader. Recent activations and lineup stability for Nuñez have reinforced the current ordering reflected in market pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNasim Nuñez 79%
Chandler Simpson 15.2%
Bobby Witt Jr. 5.5%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 3.5%
$680,493 Объем
$680,493 Объем
Nasim Nuñez
79%
Chandler Simpson
15%
Bobby Witt Jr.
6%
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
3%
Randy Arozarena
2%
CJ Abrams
1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
1%
José Caballero
1%
David Hamilton
1%
Oneil Cruz
<1%
José Ramírez
<1%
Brice Turang
<1%
Jakob Marsee
<1%
Jake McCarthy
<1%
Corbin Carroll
<1%
Nico Hoerner
<1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
<1%
Carson Benge
<1%
Luisangel Acuña
<1%
Geraldo Perdomo
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Brenton Doyle
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Trea Turner
<1%
Victor Scott II
<1%
Luis Robert Jr.
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
Trevor Story
<1%
Gunnar Henderson
<1%
Josh Naylor
<1%
Nasim Nuñez 79%
Chandler Simpson 15.2%
Bobby Witt Jr. 5.5%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 3.5%
$680,493 Объем
$680,493 Объем
Nasim Nuñez
79%
Chandler Simpson
15%
Bobby Witt Jr.
6%
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
3%
Randy Arozarena
2%
CJ Abrams
1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
1%
José Caballero
1%
David Hamilton
1%
Oneil Cruz
<1%
José Ramírez
<1%
Brice Turang
<1%
Jakob Marsee
<1%
Jake McCarthy
<1%
Corbin Carroll
<1%
Nico Hoerner
<1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
<1%
Carson Benge
<1%
Luisangel Acuña
<1%
Geraldo Perdomo
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Brenton Doyle
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Trea Turner
<1%
Victor Scott II
<1%
Luis Robert Jr.
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
Trevor Story
<1%
Gunnar Henderson
<1%
Josh Naylor
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records fewer caught stealings during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more total bases during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 22, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records fewer caught stealings during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more total bases during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Nasim Nuñez holds a commanding lead in the 2026 stolen bases race with 46 thefts through mid-September, well ahead of Chandler Simpson’s 41, Bobby Witt Jr.’s 40, and Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s 40, according to official MLB statistics. Traders have priced Nuñez at 76% implied probability because his pace and volume create a sizable cushion with roughly two weeks remaining in the regular season. Simpson remains the clearest alternative at 15.4% but has not closed the gap meaningfully in recent weeks. Other contenders such as Witt, Chisholm, Pete Crow-Armstrong, and José Caballero trail further behind and would require an improbable surge of successful steals plus favorable outcomes on caught-stealing rates to overtake the leader. Recent activations and lineup stability for Nuñez have reinforced the current ordering reflected in market pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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