Liam's 100% implied probability on Polymarket reflects the Social Security Administration's (SSA) official release today, May 8, 2026, confirming it as America's most popular boy name for 2025 births—marking its ninth consecutive year at #1 ahead of Noah and Oliver. This dominant positioning stems from Liam's sustained cultural resonance, fueled by celebrity baby announcements, streaming show influences, and broad parental appeal transcending trends seen in preliminary trackers like BabyCenter, which briefly favored Noah in November 2025 data. Trader consensus, backed by over $800K in volume, aligns with SSA's authoritative birth certificate metrics. Realistic upsets would require an unprecedented data revision or tiebreaker dispute, though historical precedent shows such challenges resolve firmly in favor of the leader.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамое популярное мужское имя 2025
Лиам 100.0%
Ноа <1%
Оливер <1%
Теодор <1%
$922,040 Объем
$922,040 Объем
Лиам
Да
Ноа
Нет
Оливер
Нет
Теодор
Нет
Джеймс
Нет
Генри
Нет
Матео
Нет
Элайджа
Нет
Лукас
Нет
Уильям
Нет
Лиам 100.0%
Ноа <1%
Оливер <1%
Теодор <1%
$922,040 Объем
$922,040 Объем
Лиам
Да
Ноа
Нет
Оливер
Нет
Теодор
Нет
Джеймс
Нет
Генри
Нет
Матео
Нет
Элайджа
Нет
Лукас
Нет
Уильям
Нет
The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.
This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Открытие рынка: Oct 27, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.
This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
Liam's 100% implied probability on Polymarket reflects the Social Security Administration's (SSA) official release today, May 8, 2026, confirming it as America's most popular boy name for 2025 births—marking its ninth consecutive year at #1 ahead of Noah and Oliver. This dominant positioning stems from Liam's sustained cultural resonance, fueled by celebrity baby announcements, streaming show influences, and broad parental appeal transcending trends seen in preliminary trackers like BabyCenter, which briefly favored Noah in November 2025 data. Trader consensus, backed by over $800K in volume, aligns with SSA's authoritative birth certificate metrics. Realistic upsets would require an unprecedented data revision or tiebreaker dispute, though historical precedent shows such challenges resolve firmly in favor of the leader.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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